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Sky Sports expert believes next Newcastle United permanent boss will be 20/1 shock outsider

1 month ago
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The Sky Sports column ‘Jones Knows’ has given some excellent analysis and commentary on what is currently happening at Newcastle United.

The column makes predictions on what will happen at certain Premier League matches and also debates other matters / issues at clubs as well.

However, unlike the usual ex-pro predictions, that are usually simply based on how ‘big’ a club is and whether or not they won the previous game, this one has proper analysis and insight, not lazy assumptions.

The Sky Sports ‘Jones Knows’ column looks at the matches from a betting perspective and has been concentrating on Newcastle’s game at Crystal Palace and who will get the Newcastle United manager’s job on a permanent basis.

What we know ahead of today’s game is that Graeme Jones (no relation presumably to Lewis Jones who is the Sky Sports expert…) has been told by the Newcastle United owners that he will be in charge of today’s game at Crystal Palace and home to Chelsea next Saturday and has been given the title of ‘interim manager’ for now.

The Sky Sports expert tips Graeme Jones as the shock outsider to also get the Newcastle job on a ‘permanent’ basis.

He explains that with at least one bookmaker (Sky Bet) to become the next permanent, a caretaker (interim) manager needs to take charge of 10 or more matches (they can have different rules, so you have to check first before putting on a bet elsewhere – for example BetVictor have Graeme Jones at 25/1 but I don’t know what criteria they have for ‘permanent’ new manager).

The Sky Sports man is tipping Newcastle to beat Palace today (you can get odds of 3/1 at various bookies on that happening), which if it happens, he believes would dramatically change the betting market on who would be the next ‘permanent’ NUFC boss. Believing (quite rightly I reckon) that Graeme Jones would see his odds drop dramatically.

With another positive result against Chelsea (a draw or better?), ‘Jones knows’ thinks that could very well be enough to see Graeme Jones get the job until January and give Newcastle’s owners the time and breathing space to make the best possible choice of a longer term new manager then. If staying in charge, Graeme Jones would reach ten games when Newcastle are home to Man City on 19 December.

A bit like goals changing the direction of games, results do the same with managers.

If indeed the NUFC owners preferred route if at all possible is to get through to January (or beyond?) without having to make the big new manager decision, then very difficult to argue with the reasoning that if Graeme Jones got four points or more from these two games, that he could well stay in the post until January or so, particular when no new signings can be made until then.

It was a conundrum last weekend because you have to wonder whether Steve Bruce would have still been sacked if it had been a great performance and win for Newcastle against Spurs?

I’m guessing he would still be here and it dragging on for at least another game or two. As we now know of course, it was just more of the same under Bruce, indeed the tactics and performance actually dropped to an even lower level arguably.

A massive day today for Newcastle United and especially Graeme Jones, here’s hoping.

Sky Sports – Betting expert ‘Jones Knows’ predicts what will happen with Crystal Palace v Newcastle United AND who could be set to get the permanent job replacing Steve Bruce – 22 October 2021:

“Graeme Jones is the man in the Newcastle hot-seat for now and his odds of 20/1 with Sky Bet for him to become their next permanent boss are worth taking. I think he can start with an away win here.

“I get the impression that those making the decisions at Newcastle wanted to keep Steve Bruce until January with the hope of keeping their heads above the relegation zone. But perhaps a mixture of a distinctly average performance and crowd unrest towards Bruce in the defeat at Tottenham has forced their hand to make a change.

“A top-class replacement will be hard to find at this stage of the season. Paulo Fonseca is all the rage with the bookmakers but an agreement is reportedly way off. In that case, the power in this search for a replacement lies with the man in caretaker charge.

“Jones has a fantastic opportunity to nail down this job until January – when it will be easier to recruit someone with a transfer window and big budget to get stuck into. All Jones needs to do is improve Newcastle over the next two matches and let’s be honest can they really get much worse?

“A couple of positive results here and against Chelsea will change the mood at St James’ Park. That could see Jones stay in the role until January. Sky Bet’s terms imply that a caretaker manager is deemed the permanent manager if taking charge of 10 games – that means Jones just has to make it to the Manchester City game on December 19. If Newcastle win this weekend, something they are certainly capable of, then that 20/1 will be long gone as this market will be heavily affected by this match result.

“Prediction is Crystal Palace 1 Newcastle 2.”

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