Staggering stats warning for Newcastle United ahead of summer business
Callum Wilson and Joe Willock have been stand out players for Newcastle United this season, rare highlights.
However, I don’t think some Newcastle fans and certainly plenty of pundits and journalists realise just how stand out they have been in NUFC terms.
Wilson ending the season injured but having been named NUFC player of the year and top goalscorer with twelve goals in the Premier League.
Willock with an incredible impact, scoring eight goals on loan in only fourteen appearances (eleven as a starter and three from the bench), including becoming the youngest player in the Premier League era to score in six consecutive appearances, then seven consecutive PL appearances.
To achieve what they have done despite the desperately negative Steve Bruce tactics used overwhelmingly this season, making the Newcastle United pair especially impressive.
The pair scored 20 goals between them (this is out of 46 NUFC PL goals in total, two own goals and 24 scored by the rest of the NUFC squad) in 15 different Premier League matches for NUFC and only once did they lose when either or both players scored, that was when Willock scored in the 4-3 defeat to Man City.
In the other 14 games where there had been Wilson and / or Willock goal / goals, Newcastle won ten and drew four, helping the team win 34 points with their goals, Newcastle United only picking up 11 points from the other 23 PL matches when neither of the pair scored.
I want you though to now consider these two tables, which give an even more stark message to everybody concerned about Newcastle United…
Both tables are published by ‘The Other 14’ (who specialise on stats/tables etc on the 14 clubs who aren’t the ‘Big Six’), showing individual and team goals to shots (chances) ratios:
‘The Other 14’ haven’t done a table (so far) showing the outcome after all 38 PL matches but with Joe Willock scoring from his only shot of the game against Fulham, Callum Wilson out injured and the next six on the table above not scoring, safe to say that the Newcastle pair ended top of this table at season’s end.
So Callum Wilson with a superb 12 goals from only 49 shots, whilst Joe Willock’s 8 goals from 17 shots for Newcastle United is simply extraordinary.
Just how extraordinary is shown when you look at the next table, this is The Other 14 showing (for the entire season) how each of the 14 PL clubs did in terms of total shots and goals by the entire squad:
As you can see, of the clubs outside the ‘big six’, Newcastle United with a respectable seventh highest conversion rate (11.1%) of the 14 clubs.
However, when you break that down it becomes a very different picture:
Joe Willock and Callum Wilson scored their 20 goals from only 66 shots between them, a joint conversion rate of 30.3%.
As for the other 24 goals scored by the rest of the Newcastle squad from 331 shots, that works out at an average conversion rate of 7.2%.
This tells us nothing we didn’t know already BUT maybe not to this extent.
Newcastle United have very few reliable goalscorers, two in fact, or actually one as Joe Willock is of course no longer in the NUFC squad as things stand.
In rough terms, their joint stats showed that Willock and Wilson needed only three shots on average to score a goal BUT for the rest of the NUFC players, an average of fourteen shots to get a goal.
When you look at that 7.2% average conversion for the rest of the NUFC squad, only relegated Sheffield United and Fulham had worse ratios for their entire squads.
When you then also factor in that Newcastle United create so few chances under Steve Bruce’s ‘style’ of football, it becomes even more worrying, of the clubs not to be relegated only Palace and Burnley had less shots than NUFC.
Then as for tactics, imagine what they could achieve / score in a team with a better manager who would set them up to attack the opposition, creating a lot more chances.
It really is asking for trouble if Mike Ashley keeps Steve Bruce in charge, with the same squad but no Joe Willock, with only minimal investment on average / rubbish cheap and free signings this summer.
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