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Computer model says Newcastle rated 8% possibility to beat Man City and 21% chance for relegation

7 months ago

Interesting overview of Newcastle United for the season and this weekend.

The computer model predictions are based on the FiveThirtyEight revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data.

They have analysed all Premier League matches this coming weekend, including the game at St James Park.

Their computer model gives Man City a 78% chance of an away win, it is 14% for a draw and a 8% possibility of a Newcastle win.

They also have predictions as to how the final Premier League table will look, for winning the title it is now Man City 28% and Liverpool 68%, the rest basically nowhere -Leicester and Chelsea next highest at 2% each.

Saturday’s visitors currently nine points off Liverpool at the top ahead of the weekend.

Interesting to see how the computer model rates the percentage chances of relegation as:

61% Norwich

52% Watford

37% Southampton

32% West Ham

27% Newcastle United

21% Villa

21% Brighton

12% Bournemouth

11% Palace

8% Sheff Utd

7% Everton

5% Burnley

2% Wolves


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