Newcastle United rated 34% chance for relegation and 40% possibility to beat Wolves

Interesting overview of Newcastle United for the season and this weekend.

The computer model predictions are based on the FiveThirtyEight revision to the Soccer Power Index, which is a rating mechanism for football teams which takes account of over half a million matches, and is based on Opta‘s play-by-play data.

They have analysed all Premier League matches this coming weekend, including the game at St James Park.

Their computer model gives Wolves a 31% chance of an away win, it is 30% for a draw and a 40% possibility of a Newcastle win (obviously percentages to nearest whole number).

They also have predictions as to how the final Premier League table will look, for winning the title it is Man City 47% and Liverpool 50%, the rest basically nowhere – Chelsea next highest at 2% after beating Newcastle last weekend.

Interesting to see how they rate the relegation battle, the bookies have Newcastle as a 1/1 (evens) chance of going down at the moment but the computer model rates the percentage chances of relegation as:

50% Norwich

45% Watford

34% Newcastle United

27% Brighton

26% Villa

22% Sheff Utd

19% Southampton

17% West Ham

14% Bournemouth

12% Wolves

12% Burnley