Who decided Joelinton is worth £40m?
I’m not sure what is more confusing about this Joelinton signing.
The fact that Mike Ashley has gave the go ahead for Newcastle United to pay £40m for a single player.
Or exactly how that £40m valuation was arrived at.
As is usually the case, little/nothing makes sense at Newcastle United.
Many Newcastle fans are still sceptical about exactly how much NUFC are paying for the 22 year old and £40m may be stretching it. Plus that kind of figure will almost certainly include chunks of money based on hitting certain targets.
However, it does appear to be a total figure somewhere up around that £40m, with Hoffenheim having officially confirmed it is a new club record for a sale. exceeding the widely reported £37m Liverpool paid four years ago for Roberto Firmino.
We are used to crazy figures being paid for players these days, well that is by pretty much every Premier League club apart from Newcastle…but how and why did NUFC think this was the one to double the then new transfer record set in January, when Miguel Almiron arrived?
Hoffenheim actually bought Joelinton on exactly the same day they sold Firmino to Liverpool. The 30 June 2015 seeing £2m paid for the now Newcastle striker as £37m was banked for Firmino. Maybe the German club seeing Joelinton as some kind of long-term replacement for the outgoing striker.
Hoffenheim had brought Roberto Firmino in for £3m as a 19 year old from Brazil four and a half years earlier.
In his first two and a half years with the Bundesliga club, Firmino was involved in 18 goals (scoring 15 and 3 assists) in 60 league starts and 14 sub appearances.
However, in his final two seasons before joining Liverpool, that became involved in 44 goals (scoring 23 and assisting 21) in 66 Bundesliga starts.
In comparison, Joelinton has provided a lot less to go on really.
He played only five minutes as a sub in the Bundesliga in his first season (2015/16) with Hoffenheim and then was loaned to Rapid Vienna for the next two years.
Making 60 league appearances (45 starts and 15 as a sub), Joelinton scored 15 goals playing as a central striker, 8 in 2016/17 and 7 in 2017/18. Not exactly startling figures (all goals and assists stats via Whoscored who don’t have assist stats for lower leagues such as the Austrian one).
However, clearly there has been a step up on that form when getting his chance at Hoffenheim finally last season, making 25 Bundesliga starts and 3 appearances as a sub, Joelinton was played to the right of the central striker but was directly involved in 12 goals – scoring 7 and 5 assists.
Joelinton turns 23 in mid-August and has played Under 17s football for Brazil but no higher, by the time Firmino was sold to Liverpool, he had already made a number of appearances for the Brazilian senior team.
Maybe it is simply a case of time and prices moving on but £40m, or anything close to that, seems an awful lot to pay based on what Joelinton has achieved so far. That soaring valuation can only really have been arrived at due to the potential suggested by last season, as the form and stats playing in Austria were nothing special. In fact, the Brazilian only made 19 league starts for Rapid Vienna last season and another 8 as a sub, a massive leap from the Rapid Vienna bench to becoming a £40m player.
Having been given the number nine shirt, it suggests Joelinton will be played as a central striker for Newcastle, although the transfer fee level may also have been a factor in that decision. It does though point to Newcastle not bringing in another striker to play through the middle, as well as the signing of the Brazilian.
Coming into a club that has lost its two top goalscorers who contributed 23 of last season’s 42 Premier League goals, it is a massive responsibility on the new signing’s shoulders.
Two weeks to integrate and hit the ground running, with no other new signings having been brought in during these first 70 days of the transfer window.
Mike Ashley clearly thinking of the future resale value that could be generated but what will the value to Newcastle United prove to be of £40m Joelinton when the season kicks off in 18 days time?
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