West Brom must beat Aston Villa if Newcastle to have any chance of signing Salomon Rondon
Debate amongst Newcastle United fans about Salomon Rondon, is second only to the conversation surrounding the future of Rafa Benitez.
The signing of the Venezuelan international striker is widely accepted as one of the lines in the sand Rafa is insisting on, before he will consider staying on and signing a new contract.
So, apart from Rafa needing to stay, what else has to happen before Newcastle can secure the loan forward on a permanent deal?
I have seen a lot of talk on social media from Newcastle fans and the near unanimous verdict is that West Brom have to lose in the play-offs, if there is going to be any hope of signing Salomon Rondon.
The reasoning is that he will be cheaper if West Brom stay in the Championship.
Previous widespread reports said that whilst there is currently a £16.5m release clause (as there was last summer…) whilst West Brom are a relegated/Championship club, that figure will rise to a release clause of at least £20m if the Baggies find themselves promoted the Premier League for next season.
To be honest, I 100% believe that it is the absolute opposite.
If West Brom fail in the play-offs then I think there is zero chance of Salomon Rondon being bought by Newcastle.
However, if they do get promotion I think there is every chance of the number nine turning out for NUFC next season.
Let me explain.
Firstly, I think there is zero chance of Mike Ashley allowing Newcastle to buy Rondon in a stand alone deal, whether that is £16.5m or £20m+.
Secondly, it is obvious (to me) that Dwight Gayle is the key to any potential deal.
Whilst Salomon Rondon has scored 11 Premier League goals and got seven assists, Dwight Gayle has scored 24 goals despite starting only 34 games for West Brom.
His red card at the weekend saw many of the West Brom fans, who had voted him player of the season, suggest that they were a one man team and now stood no chance of going up, as he is banned for tonight’s second leg against Villa AND the play-off final if they get through.
It is the perfect arrangement, if the Baggies return to the top tier, the two clubs can make the arrangement a permanent swap.
Mike Ashley won’t pay £16.5m for a striker who turns 30 in September BUT he would do a swap deal, in my opinion, if it is wrapped up inn a swap deal.
A stand alone buying of Rondon makes it look like he’s lost (in Ashley’s own head), publicly forced to back down to Rafa and pay so much for a player who he has no chance of selling at a future profit.
However, he can pat himself on the back if it is a swap.
Dwight Gayle cost £10m back in summer 2016 and his 23 goals were key in the promotion, plus his all round unselfish play was also vital in staying up comfortably last season, despite only six PL goals. So Mike Ashley could/would see landing a £20m+ rated Salomon Rondon simply by letting go an unwanted striker who cost £10m and he/NUFC got full value from, as vindication of his ‘clever’ running of Newcastle United.
Also, I think Gayle will really want another go at the Premier League, so even if West Brom did still want to sign him despite staying down, he wouldn’t be interested in another second tier season.
We really need West Brom to turn around this 2-1 deficit against Villa tonight and then beat Derby or Leeds in the final, if we are to see Salomon Rondon in a black and white (NUFC) shirt once again.
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