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Paul Merson doesn’t let us down with dodgy theory to back up Leicester v Newcastle prediction

1 year ago
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Paul Merson has been looking ahead to Leicester v Newcastle.

Leicester are on a run of our wins and 11 goals scored, meanwhile Newcastle have lost the last two and failed to score in three hours of football.

Easy to make lazy assumptions based on half-baked stats/theories and yet again Paul Merson doesn’t let us down.

Merson declaring about Leicester’s recent opponents: ‘Huddersfield went for it and Bournemouth were the same, but Newcastle will sit back and try to nick a point. So they’ll have to be patient.’

Not sure how Paul Merson reckons this as when Bournemouth lost 2-0 at the King Power, they only had 41% possession, two shots on target and one corner.

Meanwhile Huddersfield at home only had 45% possession and four shots on target as they lost 4-1.

Surely more a case of Leicester having some very good players who have been a bit up and down this season and one or two beforehand, Jamie Vardy summing this up with six goals in the past five game.

As for Newcastle United, they might have lost three of their last five games and drawn one – but sitting¬† back and trying to nick a goal certainly hasn’t been a reason for the disappointing results.

Ignoring the Arsenal match which was always going to be tough, the NUFC stats in recent games…

Against Crystal Palace Newcastle had 18 shots to only three for the visitors. Palace scoring with their only effort on target.

Away at Bournemouth, Newcastle edged possession (51%) and had more shots (12 v 10) and more efforts on target (4 v 3) and same number of corners (6 v 6).

In the 3-2 win over Everton it was 19 v 7 (shots) and 8 v 2 (corners) in Newcastle’s favour.

At West Ham, despite losing 2-0 Rafa’s team had 6 v 1 on corners and 17 v 10 when it came to shots.

Leicester may well win on Friday night, after all they have spent a relative fortune on players compared to what Mike Ashley’s allowed Rafa Benitez.

However, certainly since Miguel Almiron arrived, Newcastle have been getting more on the front front, with the exception of that Arsenal game.

It doesn’t mean that Rafa Benitez is suddenly all out attack but it is misrepresenting the truth to make out Newcastle are now playing purely to contain the opposition.

Paul Merson talking to Sky Sports:

“In the games Leicester have played of late, teams have had a go at them.

“But I think Newcastle will sit back and make it difficult and that’ll give them a different proposition.

“Huddersfield went for it and Bournemouth were the same, but Newcastle will sit back and try to nick a point.

“So they’ll have to be patient.

“But I’m going to go for Leicester to win.

“Under Brendan Rodgers, the players look confident and they’re playing very well.

“I think they’re a dangerous team at the moment.

“Prediction is Leicester 2 Newcastle 0.”

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