Mark Lawrenson predicts Arsenal v Newcastle
Mark Lawrenson has been looking ahead to Monday night at the Emirates.
At last this seemingly endless international break coming to an end for the two clubs.
Not the easiest game to come back to for Rafa Benitez but a bit of a free hit.
It is over seven months since Arsenal lost at home in the Premier League, losing to Man City on the opening day.
In total only dropping seven points out of a possible 48.
Mark Lawrenson declares: ‘When they are at home they play with lots of confidence. I can see this almost being a kind of routine victory for them.’
Whilst they have been so dominant at home with nine PL wins in a row now, the Gunners still seem to give the opposition a bit of a chance.
Their last three matches at home saw nine goals scored and only one conceded as they beat Southampton, Bournemouth and Man Utd.
However, in those three games the visitors had 10 shots with 4 on target. 13 shots with 5 on target, 14 shots with 4 on target. Newcastle have managed more goals recently with five in the last two games and nine in the last five, so could be interesting if getting a bit of luck and scoring first.
Only the top three and Wolves have conceded fewer goals away from home than Newcastle’s 20, with for example Arsenal conceding 27 on their travels.
The last two visits have seen close games ending 1-0 to Arsenal and whilst it would be a major surprise if Newcastle could repeat the Chris Hughton/Andy Carroll 1-0 win of 2010, maybe a decent hope of a point.
Mark Lawrenson goes for a two goal home victory but he has been wrong before…
Mark Lawrenson talking to BBC Sport:
“Rafa Benitez has taken his Newcastle side on a great run, with only one defeat in their past six games.
“The Magpies are as good as safe now, and probably only need one more win to be sure of staying up, but I don’t think they will get it here.
“While Arsenal have struggled on the road, when they are at home they play with lots of confidence.
“I can see this almost being a kind of routine victory for them.
“It is a worry the Gunners are so different on their travels, though.
“What that basically says is that everything is good at home when they have loads of the ball and that is the strength of the team when they are going forward – like they should be on Monday.
“But, when they are away, and under the cosh more, they can’t seem to cope with that.
“They don’t seem to be able to pick up points on a regular basis, and their results in Europe have been disappointing too.
“Unai Emery has made plenty of changes after replacing Arsene Wenger as manager but in that regard, it is still ‘same old, same old Arsenal’.
“Prediction is Arsenal 2 Newcastle 0.”
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