When things are tough at our club, it is a natural reaction for Newcastle fans to look for the potential positives.
The storyline at the minute is that after playing five of the ‘big six’ in the opening fixtures, we can look forward to reaping the points from these next five ‘winnable’ matches.
Reading and hearing what many supporters are saying, there seems to be some underlying confidence that I’m just not getting.
Of course I hope things will get better but I will b every pleasantly surprised if we do significantly better in this next five game stretch.
The next five fixtures are Brighton (H), Southampton (A), Watford (H), Bournemouth (H) and Burnley (A) – This actually takes us up to the start of December.
That will mean 13 games gone, already more than a third of the season completed, and how many points would you expect?
Just look at what happened in these fixtures last season:
Newcastle 0 Brighton 0
Southampton 2 Newcastle 2
Newcastle 0 Bournemouth 1
Burnley 1 Newcastle 0
Only one point from 15 and four of the matches NUFC didn’t even score in.
If these results were repeated then it would mean three points from the opening 39.
I think the reality as well, that we can’t ignore, is that all of these clubs have strengthened and improved, whilst Mike Ashley insisted on a large profit on transfer deals which has overall weakened, not strengthened, Newcastle’s first 11 and squad.
I don’t go along with what many Newcastle fans were saying about those early games against the top clubs, this idea that it was no big deal to end up losing all five of them.
Last season we beat both Arsenal and Chelsea, that is six points we are already down on last season, indeed in the case of Chelsea we had won four and drawn one of the previous five home games against the blues.
Personally, I think we had far more chance of beating Arsenal at home than we have of winning at Burnley or Southampton.
Those are games were the opposition will be massively targeting the matches, seeing them as amongst probably their most key half dozen fixtures that have to be won, to ensure safety.
As for Watford and Bournemouth, they have both made great starts to the season and are attacking teams with pace up front, exactly the kind of sides Newcastle are finding it difficult to cope with.
We are up against it and definitely need everything to fall right if disaster on the pitch is to be avoided.