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Opinion

Stats on Championship clubs promoted to Premier League is extra concern for Newcastle United

11 months ago
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A lot of Newcastle fans, and those at other clubs, still seem to be under the impression that Championship clubs are almost certain to struggle when getting into the Premier League.

The perception being that usually a couple of relegation spots will be filled by clubs instantly returning to the second tier.

That may have been true at one time but not now.

Indeed, in these past eight Premier League seasons, only eight  of the twenty four relegation places were filled by clubs just up from the Championship.

Of course last season we saw all three stay up relatively comfortably, with Newcastle, Brighton and Huddersfield spending almost no time in the relegation zone all season.

With Mike Ashley refusing to back Rafa Benitez, any Newcastle fans thinking promoted clubs will provide a bit of a comfort buffer this coming season, could get a nasty surprise.

At one time, when clubs were promoted they were seen as typically to have good team spirit and momentum from their promotion, but not having funds of Premier League sides, almost guaranteed to struggle.

That has all changed, Championship sides are coming up with that team spirit and momentum, but now they are also spending tens of millions of pounds to try and ensure they can compete. With their minimal net spend last season, Newcastle United are now very much a rarity.

Brighton and especially Huddersfield were seen as hot relegation favourites but never looked in any real danger.

This time, Wolves are set to sign Moutinho and bring their spending up to around £45m so far, Fulham will take theirs beyond £50m when Mitro completes his move, whilst even Cardiff have spent around £30m so far.

The info below, shows how promoted clubs have got on after promotion and in these past eight seasons, only eight going straight back to the Championship.

One other very interesting stat I did also take from this, is that 13 of the 20 clubs competing in this coming season in the Premier League, were promoted in the past seven seasons.

What that tells me, is that clubs coming up are not only having a 66% chance of staying up, but are also then continuing to invest in their squads and giving themselves every chance of becoming a Premier League regular. Despite crowds of only ten thousand, Bournemouth are a prime example.

The only Premier League clubs not to have been promoted in these past seven seasons are the ‘big six’ and Everton.

Positions in Premier League that clubs promoted from the Championship finished in, in their first season up:

2017/18 Premier League final positions:

Newcastle (10th), Brighton (15th), Huddersfield (16th)

2016/17 Premier League final positions:

Burnley (16th), Middlesbrough (19th), Hull (18th)

2015/16 Premier League final positions:

Bournemouth (16th), Watford (13th), Norwich (19th)

2014/15 Premier League final positions:

Leicester (14th), Burnley (19th), QPR (20th)

2013/14 Premier League final positions:

Cardiff (20th), Hull (16th), Crystal Palace (11th)

2012/13 Premier League final positions:

Reading (19th), Southampton(14th), West Ham (10th)

2011/12 Premier League final positions:

QPR (17th), Norwich (12th), Swansea (11th)

2010/11 Premier League final positions:

Newcastle (12th), West Brom (11th), Blackpool (19th)
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