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Paul Merson with very dubious logic in predicting Newcastle v Chelsea outcome

2 years ago

An interesting one from Paul Merson.

He has been looking at the final game of the season at St James Park and came up with a surprising outcome…and an unlikely explanation as to why this will happen.

Newcastle have nothing to play for and Chelsea everything, yet he has backed 11/2 shot NUFC to win.

This is despite Chelsea being top of the recent form table with four wins and two draws, whilst Newcastle have lost their last four matches.

Yes Chelsea did only draw at home to Huddersfield on Wednesday but the visitors’ goal led a charmed life.

They have run into form maybe just too late.

Liverpool will qualify for the last Champions League spot if they get a point or better at home to Brighton, Chelsea need to win and the scousers lose.

Due to this, Paul Merson claims that Chelsea won’t be throwing everything at Sunday’s match, instead concentrating on the FA Cup final.

With the likes of Arsenal fans and many others hardly counting the FA Cup as anything of note, I find this hard to believe.

Yes, I am sure Chelsea will throw everything at the FA Cup final when it comes around but the Champions League is so vital to the likes of the West London club, whilst there is even a remote chance, they will do everything to try and get it.

Does anybody really doubt that Conte won’t pick his very best team to play Newcastle?

Liverpool’s form has actually been really poor in the league as they have ironically, been distracted by the Champions League, the final of which is in two weeks time, 13 days after Sunday’s matches.

They have won only two of their last six Premier League matches and have failed to score in three of them, including a goalless draw at home to now relegated Stoke. Throw in giving away a two goal lead at West Brom and they haven’t been great.

As for Brighton, they got a draw with Tottenham then beat Manchester United, before going down 3-1 at Man City in midweek, but they did have a bit of a go. Falling behind they then equalised, before eventually losing.

The way I see it with Chelsea, they will really go for it on Sunday and only ease off if the position looks impossible at any time, so if say Liverpool are three up at half-time, Conte would accept the reality of the situation and take it easy.

Ideal scenario for me…Liverpool to lose AND Newcastle to beat Chelsea, we have to get our kicks from somewhere, plus of course it would be nice to round off a very decent season with a win, Rafa doing a great job against the odds.

Paul Merson speaking to Sky Sports:

“It’s all about the FA Cup final now for Chelsea, isn’t it?

“They have to win, Liverpool have to lose, but I don’t see it happening.

“Let’s be honest, they’ve messed it up.

“I just don’t think Chelsea will be at the races.

“I think they’ll be more focused on the final.

“Prediction is Newcastle 2 Chelsea 1.”

Merson on Liverpool v Brighton:

“I know they’ve got the Champions League final coming up but it’s a couple of weeks away and they’ll want to finish on a high and make sure they bag that top-four spot.

“Brighton have been great – absolutely outstanding – but they’ll be on the beach now surely.

“Prediction is Liverpool 3 Brighton 0.”

Newcastle v Chelsea Match Betting:

NUFC win 11/2Draw 16/5Chelsea win 4/7

Both teams to score in 1st half 7/2Perez to score 1st goal 19/2NUFC win 2-0 35/1

All Newcastle v Chelsea betting HERE


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