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BBC Sport ‘super computer’ prediction for Newcastle v West Brom

3 years ago
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It is Newcastle v West Brom on Saturday afternoon, with tenth against twentieth

In theory, Newcastle can still go down and West Brom can still stay up.

However, neither thing is going to happen.

BBC Sport have published the likelihood of either club winning, based on the predictions of  ‘super computer’ SAM.

(SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by Professor Ian McHale at the University of Liverpool that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.

SAM’s verdict is…

Most probable score: 1-0

Probability of home win: 55%

Probability of away win: 25%

Probability of draw: 20%

Match of The Day commentator Alistair Mann’s pre-match notes:

“Anything other than a West Brom victory will finally bring the inevitable conclusion to their eight-year stay in the top flight.

“By contrast, Newcastle’s timely recent run of four straight wins has proved decisive in securing their own status.

“For a club so used to end-of-season drama, they are in the unusual position of being able to play pressure-free football.

“In his three games at the helm, Darren Moore has presided – rather ironically – over West Brom’s most productive month of the campaign since August and he’ll certainly demand his players retain their newfound levels of performance.

“With the hosts now equally free to express themselves in what’s sure to be a party atmosphere, this could prove to be an unexpectedly entertaining tussle.”

Match Facts:

Newcastle have lost just one of their last 15 league games at home to West Brom (W10, D4).

The Magpies have conceded 13 league goals in 2018 – only Manchester United and Tottenham, with 10 and 11 conceded respectively, have better records.

They are unbeaten in seven Premier League home games since a 1-0 defeat by Manchester City on 27 December (W4, D3).

Newcastle could lose back-to-back league games for the first time in 2018.

Rafael Benitez has won seven of his previous eight league games against West Brom (drawing the other), including all four home matches without conceding a goal.

The Baggies have scored 41% of their goals from set-pieces (excluding penalties), which is the highest figure in the division this season.

Darren Moore has earned five points from his three Premier League games in charge of West Brom, one more than Alan Pardew did in his final 11 matches.

Newcastle v West Brom Match Betting with BetVictor:

Newcastle win 5/6 – Draw 5/2West Brom win 4/1

Ritchie to score first goal 19/2NUFC win 2-0 15/2NUFC to win both halves 15/4

All Newcastle v West Brom betting HERE

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