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Newcastle United pick up 75% of points from 25% of teams

4 years ago

After the Southampton match, we can see some pretty dramatic statistics from the Newcastle United season so far.

The excellent 3-0 win on Saturday afternoon lifted Newcastle to 13 place in the Premier League with 32 points.

That total has been generated in 30 PL matches with another eight to go.

Where have those 32 points come from then?

Well, you wouldn’t be amazed to hear Newcastle have generally done better against the poorer teams, not so good against the better ones.

However, the actual split of where points have come from, is very dramatic, 75% of the points so far have come from games against only 25% of Premier League clubs.

The 75% have come from:

West Ham – 2 wins

Stoke – 2 wins

Swansea – 1 win, 1 draw

Palace – 1 win, 1 draw

Southampton – 1 win, 1 draw

That adds up to 24 points from only five clubs, after having played them home and away.

The other 20 games played so far have seen Newcastle pick up only eight points from a possible 60 points.

They have come from the win at home to Man Utd, plus draws at home to Swansea, Brighton, Liverpool and Burnley, as well as draws at West Brom and Bournemouth.

Looking back at the five clubs where Newcastle are unbeaten and have picked up 24 points, they are five of the seven teams below Newcastle in the current PL table. Reinforcing the fact/opinion that Rafa Benitez has been absolutely superb in getting a weak Newcastle squad competitive against those teams they are competing with to stay up.

The other two clubs below Newcastle are Huddersfield and West Brom. NUFC losing 1-0 at the Terrier and drawing 2-2 at the Baggies.

With both of those still to play at home, it isn’t being overly optimistic to think there is every chance of wins against both, which would surely ensure safety.

That would leave Newcastle with a final record against the current bottom seven clubs of Played 14 Won 9 Drawn 4 Lost 1.

These stats back up the belief as well amongst Newcastle fans that when making difficult decisions, especially in the crowded festive fixtures, extra points have been won by prioritising certain matches.

If that proves the case, imagine if Rafa was then backed with the next level or two higher of players, so he could compete with the other clubs outside the top five or six?

No reason to believe that the Newcastle boss wouldn’t be able to get a better return from that level of players than many/most other managers, plus also start to pick up a few more off the top half dozen.

That kind of sensible progression should be the minimum Rafa Benitez is given a chance of having a go at next season, assuming we stay up…and no matter who owns the club.


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