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Why the ‘experts’ such as Michael Owen might just have got this Newcastle United one wrong…

4 years ago

I was amused to see Michael Owen predicting that Newcastle will get beat this weekend.

He joined others such as Paul Merson and Mark Lawrenson in forecasting a comfortable Crystal Palace win.

Newcastle may well get beat, we all know we don’t have a great team and every game is a challenge.

However, there are some matches that Newcastle are far more likely to not lose, or the Magpies may even win.

Here is the Premier League table, well the bottom nine anyway, before the weekend’s matches.

You (and Michael Owen, Merson, Lawrenson…) may find it interesting to know that the last time any of these teams above beat Newcastle, was five months ago.

Yes, 24 September 2017 saw Brighton edge a 1-0 home win over Newcastle.

In fact, in the entire season, of this bottom nine only promoted sides Brighton and Huddersfield have defeated Rafa’s team.

This is the astonishing record of Newcastle’s record against the other eight clubs in the bottom nine of the table:

Played 12 Won 6 Drawn 4 Lost 2 (22 points from possible 36)

In contrast, Newcastle’s record against the current top 11 clubs is:

Played 13 Won 0 Drawn 2 Lost 11 (2 points from possible 39)

I like to think Newcastle have a chance in any match they play but when I engage my brain, I have to accept that the facts/logic this season so far, tell me that Newcastle have very little chance against the better teams.

However, they DO have every chance of getting something from the poorer teams and Crystal Palace are one of those.

No matter what Michael Owen, Paul Merson or Mark Lawrenson might say.

Matches played so far by Newcastle against other clubs in current bottom nine of Premier League:

Huddersfield 1 Newcastle 0 (20 Aug 2017)

Newcastle 3 West Ham 0 (26 Aug 2017)

Swansea 0 Newcastle 1 (10 Sept 2017)

Newcastle 2 Stoke 1 (16 Sept 2017)

Brighton 1 Newcastle 0 (24 Sept 2017)

Southampton 2 Newcastle 2 (15 Oct 2017)

Newcastle 1 Crystal Palace 0 (21 Oct 2017)

West Brom 2 Newcastle 2 (28 Nov 2017)

West Ham 2 Newcastle 3 (23 Dec 2017)

Newcastle 0 Brighton 0  (30 Dec 2017)

Stoke 0 Newcastle 1 (1 Jan 2018)

Newcastle 1 Swansea 1 (13 Jan 2018)


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