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Best and worst outcomes from Boxing Day games for Newcastle United

4 years ago

Newcastle United have the dubious benefit of an extra day off before their next Premier League fixture.

No doubt Rafa Benitez would have far preferred to have an extra day before Brighton to prepare his team, rather than the thankless task of taking on Manchester City.

So on Boxing Day, Newcastle fans can sit back and hopefully watch their relegation rivals fall apart and allow then NUFC pull further away from the drop zone when they get a result against Pep Guardiola’s team…

There are eight Premier League fixtures today (Palace are home to Arsenal on Thursday night), so what should Newcastle fans be hoping/fearing today?

This is how the Premier League table looks before the Boxng Day fixtures:

The good news is that thanks to Saturday’s win, Newcastle can’t drop into the relegation zone even if all the results go badly for Rafa’s team today.

If either Bournemouth or West Ham win their clash today, they would go above Newcastle, but neither West Brom or Swansea can, even if they win.

With Palace not playing until Thursday, if the Bournemouth v West Ham game is a draw, then Newcastle would be guaranteed to be still 15th going into the Man City match.

It is obvious that Newcastle fans should be looking for West Brom to lose at home to Everton, Watford lose to Leicester, Liverpool to win at Anfield against Swansea, Brighton to lose at Chelsea, plus Spurs to beat Southampton in today’s early kick-off.

I think draws in both the Bournemouth v West Ham and Huddersfield v Stoke matches would be the best outcomes (a point going missing etc etc), so this is how the bottom half of the Premier League would look like with those results – everybody then having played 20 games apart from Newcastle and Palace with 19 played before their midweek fixtures.

Number of points before each club:

23 Huddersfield

22 Watford

21 Brighton

20 Stoke

19 Southampton

18 Newcastle United

18 Crystal Palace

18 West Ham

17 Bournemouth

14 West Brom

13 Swansea

That scenario above would see Newcastle potentially going as high as 12th with a win over Manchester City.

However, the very worst scenario would see (for me) Bournemouth beat West Ham and Stoke defeat Huddersfield, then if all the other lower clubs won we would have a table showing like this before Newcastle take on Man City:

25 Watford

24 Brighton

22 Southampton

22 Huddersfield

22 Stoke

19 Bournemouth

18 Newcastle United

18 Crystal Palace

17 West Brom

17 West Ham

16 Swansea

I think the reality is that Newcastle’s best and most direct route to safety is if, as well as the Magpies obviously winning matches, if West Brom and Swansea could get increasingly cut off at the bottom, with at least one other joining that pair with a dismal run (such as the one Newcastle have at least temporarily climbed out of with the victory at West Ham).

Tuesday (Boxing Day) Premier League fixtures

Tottenham v Southampton (12.30pm kick-off)

Bournemouth v West Ham (3pm)

Chelsea v Brighton (3pm)

Huddersfield v Stoke (3pm)

Man Utd v Burnley (3pm)

Watford v Leicester (3pm)

West Bromwich v Everton (3pm)

Liverpool v Swansea (5.30pm)


Newcastle v Man City (7.45pm)


Crystal Palace v Arsenal (8pm)


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