Only five days before Santa drops down the chimney and hopes of the Amanda Staveley bidders taking over at Newcastle any time soon, appear to be fading.

Last week brought conflicting claims (see below).

Firstly, it was widely reported that Amanda Staveley had increased her/their bid to around the £300m mark and that certain problematic contract clauses had been removed.

Only for the Financial Times to then claim that no increased offer had been made and indeed the bidders wanted to pay a lower amount, which would then be topped up if Newcastle stay in the Premier League this season.

The FT report also said that a risk assessment had been done by the Amanda Staveley group and they believed (before defeat to Arsenal) that there was a 65% chance of Newcastle going down this season.

Many Newcastle supporters would see the chances as non-existent of the club being sold until there is some clarity on which division the club will be competing in when August 2018 comes around.

Mike Ashley has held onto the club for ten and a half years now, going through two relegations, two promotions, a number of other relegation near misses, so very hard to see him now panic and sell for far less guaranteed money than he wanted back in the summer, or in October, before Newcastle went on a run of one point from 27 and ended up now in the bottom three.

It doesn’t take a genius to work out that nobody would be willing to pay as much now in December, as they would have done when relegation was such an unlikely thought for most people, indeed the bookies have responded accordingly and see Newcastle now as one of the three most likely to be relegated.

So what would a relegation mean for the value of Newcastle United?

Well a new update on Wednesday morning has put a figure on that.

As well as believing Newcastle are 65% certain to be relegated, The Mail are reporting that the Amanda Staveley camp have put a figure of £125m as the difference between Newcastle being a Premier League or Championship club in May.

They also claim that the current position is that the bidders are offering £250m and Mike Ashley holding out for £350m.

If only Newcastle had picked an average of a point per game over these last nine matches then they would have been on 23 points and in the top half of the table. Relegation a remote possibility and any reporting on a possible takeover having a lot more clarity without that issue undermining it.

Personally, I think in this situation you would only get a sale happening in the near future if one of the parties was either desperate to sell quickly, or desperate to buy quickly. I just can’t see that being the case with Newcastle United as we speak.

We live in hope.

The Mag – 15 December 2017:

Wednesday brought breaking news (see below) that Amanda Staveley had increased the bid from £250m to £300m for Newcastle United, with some clauses also removed that could have been sticking points.

Sky Sports and all of the major newspapers published the story very closely together, suggesting that they had been briefed by one side or the other, or both sides, regarding a supposed step forward. The reports also suggested that transfer cash could be made available to Rafa Benitez in January before a final deal was concluded, with Amanda Staveley’s group allegedly agreeing to then refund Ashley after the event.

Sky Sports then followed that up on Thursday by claiming that their information was that despite an increased bid having been made, it still included a clause whereby Mike Ashley would have to pay back some cash if Newcastle ended up being relegated this season.

However, Friday morning has brought a very different exclusive from the Financial Times, which certainly isn’t as positive, though it does still claim that the two sides are still negotiating ad want to buy and sell.

The Financial Times report their information as being:

No improved offer was made by Amanda Staveley in midweek, that the reports were misleading and the original £250m bid is where they are still at.

As for a relegation clause, they say that the Staveley bid isn’t insisting on a relegation clause whereby money would then be refunded if relegation struck. Instead they want to pay a lower price and then if Newcastle stay up, pay Mike Ashley an extra amount at the end of the season.

The report also says that the potential buyers have taken advice and they believe that at the moment Newcastle have a 65% chance of being relegated, making it a very real threat.

Their sources have also told them that one or both sides may also want to wait and see what the outcome of the next Premier League TV broadcasting deals will be. The next three season deal to start in the 2019/20 season, is set to see figures announced in February (2018), meaning that a final deal may not be completed until May at the earliest.

However, they also add that there is still a possibility that is both buyers and sellers are prepared to reach a compromise, a deal could be completed far earlier.

Mike Ashley is the ultimate gambler but this is one where he is playing for very high stakes and if he oversees a third relegation and is still here in the summer, it may not be any kind of third time lucky when it comes to bouncing straight back to the Premier League.

The Mag – 13 December 2017

Breaking news on Wednesday lunchtime is that Amanda Staveley has increased the £250m offer to around the £300m mark and a Newcastle takeover is imminent.

Sky Sports have announced the imminent deal and various newspapers/media (Mail, Mirror, Independent etc) have also stated the same.

Suggesting that this is the result of a briefing and we are at last set to be released from the grip of Mike Ashley.

It’s reported that as well as the raised bid to around that £300m mark, certain clauses that Ashley wasn’t happy with have been removed, presumably the main one being compensation due if relegation happens this season.

The Amanda Staveley bid is also said to include a willingness to help fund January spending.

With a deal taking time to finally sign off totally, the reports say that Mike Ashley will fund Newcastle’s January spending but then be reimbursed by PCP Partners (Staveley’s company).

It is claimed that this arrangement should give Rafa Benitez some £30m to spend in January.

Previous reports had suggested February as the earliest a final deal could be concluded and the end of January is the timing for that in this latest welcome update.

On Tuesday, Rafa Benitez had yet again expressed his concern about the state of affairs concerning transfers.

The Newcastle boss saying he still had no idea how much, if anything, he would have to spend in January.

Hopefully this deal will now be quickly concluded AND we see a concerted effort by team, fans, manager, tea lady…to get the three points against Everton and make the relegation talk quickly recede.

  • Andynufc

    Yawn! Seriously bored of this now. Either report when it’s a done deal or the deals off!

  • Dutch

    The deal will not happen. Ashley is milking us all. Sadly we are all click baiting to the advantage of these stupid posts.

  • Paul Patterson

    Whoops! Should’ve sold two months ago Mike..

    • MichaelMaximusMoose

      he doesn`t give a Monkey`s, never has done, every time he`s in the schitt he comes out smelling like Mr Dior

      • Toonrobbybobson

        When has he ever smell of dior?

        • TheNutJob

          whenever his ex buys if for him at Chrimbo

  • MichaelMaximusMoose

    The Fat Lad will roll the dice & the takeover will be kicked down the road.
    next month will see the continuation of Rafaball

    • Vladimir Biggski

      Has been his plan all along. Has already started with the propoganda.

      • MichaelMaximusMoose

        He`s totally unpredictable and after 10 years it still hasn`t sank in with some fans

        • Vladimir Biggski

          I think he is very predictable. He was always going to take a punt on Rafa this season and try to pocket the TV cash. His plan revolves around keeping Rafa in post until the last week in January. Then he will bring in a donkey like pulis as his second bet for the season. If the replacement keeps them up, it all starts over again.

          • MichaelMaximusMoose

            1st, he won`t pay Rafa off,
            2nd, Pulis wouldn`t put up with Fatso`s antics

          • joe mac

            pulis wil toe fatsos line!….only KK and rafa have rocked the boat in the last ten years!,,,,ones gone….and ones going!..

          • Tomb

            We were told Rafa wouldn’t put up with it either yet he’s still here

          • nufcslf

            Very true, but nobody is keeping this sh*t show in the prem this season, not even if the takeover happens.

        • nufcslf

          Anybody who can’t see through fat guts by now knows sweet fa about football, much the same as the fat fella himself. Increadible.

  • Oooh bobbi fleckman

    A guide to writing a Mag article about the takeover.

    Whatever Mike Ashley is asking, it’s too much.
    When it comes to valuation, never explain the valuation in any methodical or use an accepted valuation model.
    Always mention past relegation, it’s not relevant but the readers will be too thick to understand.
    Mention that Mike Ashley is fat, it’s significant.
    Try and convince the reader that losing away to Arsenal increases the odds of relegation despite nobody anticipating 3 pts away.

    • Wor Lass

      You forgot to mention being surprised to find that we`re fighting to stay up.

      • Oooh bobbi fleckman

        Yes, who’d have thought a newly promoted team is in the bottom half?

        • HarryHype59

          The problem is far greater than that! The team is literally free falling out of the top flight!

          I expected us to struggle due to under investment by Ashley and too many bad Rafa buys! However, this slump has exceeded the worst expectations imaginable!

          As I said weeks ago, this sale won’t happen unless your employer accepts the relegation clause!

          • 1957

            And he won’t, he will gamble on staying up, especially if its £125m

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            We’ve lost a few games, 3 if which were always going to be tough. We deserved at least a point at Burnley and played well enough at Man Yoo (for 1/2 HR it felt as good as the 1-0 with Cabaye scoring). We dominated West Bromwich and
            should have won. I only get to about 10 mainly away games a season but I’ve not seen us like out of place in this league.

            I will bow down to those who go every week but with a few decent buys, we’ll be ok imho.

            Harry, you confuse me. You don’t go to games, you will us to lose and want us to fail. I only know a couple of people like you and they are Sunderland fans.

          • Jezza

            We’d have been OK now if we’d made “a few decent buys” in the summer instead of scraping around the bargain basement for barely Championship level cloggers.

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            The centre half IMHO is half decent. Merino is good, not a championship clogger. Josulu is no striker but I thought he had a good game on Satday.

            I seem to recall you moaning that we didnt get that lad from Chelsea on loan yet Rafa rejected him and he’s done nothing

          • Jezza

            From what I have seen this season we got exactly what we paid for with Lejeune and Merino, a 26 year old with one season of top flight football under his belt and a player who got two games last season. Not good enough on paper when we signed them and not good enough in reality to improve our
            Championship team.

            Rafa didn’t reject Tammy Abraham, he was desperate to sign him. It was Fatso and his minnions who refused to meet the financial terms of the loan deal.

          • HarryHype59

            Lejeune cost Eibar £1m from Man City in 2016. A year later NUFC paid £8m for him! He isn’t any better than CBs already at the club!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            Really? This is what he said in Mainz, a pal of mine was over for the friendly and they were in the player’s hotel. This is my pal’s note on the matter: Rafa spoke directly to us (fans), Abraham was demanding £50k per week and all sorts of other lucrative appearance/goal bonuses, he actually demanded a £1m down-payment for a new house for his mam and dad (whom he lives with). Apparently Swansea HAVE paid this £1m for the house as well as a huge payment to his agent, whilst Abraham secured the £50k per week he demanded by signing a contract with Chelsea before he went out on loan to Swansea. Rafa wasn’t happy by the young player’s demands, from someone who had done nothing so great as to deserve this – yet? And so, Rafa & NUFC pulled the plug on the deal and decided to look elsewhere for someone “wanting to play for NUFC” rather than merely ‘chasing the money before ambition’?

          • HarryHype59

            So they got the wonder kid Hoss! A player who was completely over priced at £5m and is worse than Daryl Murphy!

            I wonder what Drosses, sell on value is? No doubt he will be our main striker in the Championship next season!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            Josulu is not a striker but I thought he played well against Arsenal.

          • HarryHype59

            “Josulu is not is not a striker”

            This weeks “No Schmitt Sherlock” award goes to…..

            Bobbi Fleckman…aka Captain obvious!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            You’re a bit limited aren’t you?

          • HarryHype59

            Says the man who consistently fails to see the glaringly obvious!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            Interesting but if news for you, the board are going into ‘dual process’ mode in the next few days, basically they will be answerable to Mike and the new owners. This is mainly to cope with the transfer window and the premier league need a month to do DD on the new owners.

            It’s going ahead.

          • HarryHype59


            I hear PCP will fail the DD as one of them has been caught betting £50m on us going down at three to one. (:-))

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            I’m not going to tell you that now am I?

          • HarryHype59

            Of course not! Nod nod wink wink!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            A source close to Mike Ashley

          • HarryHype59

            HP, Heinz, Sweet and Sour?

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            You should know on the 6th Jan

          • HarryHype59

            Nod Nod wink wink, bobs ya uncle!

          • Jezza

            Yes Joselu might get his goal tally into single figures in the Championship.

          • Tomb

            Joselu isn’t up to it but Brighton have Glenn Murray as their first choice striker. Are we really any worse off in quality than those sides?

          • HarryHype59

            Glenn Murray is a better player than Hoss!

          • Jezza

            You are saying Rafa pulled the plug on the Abraham deal. Well that’s certainly not what the more reputable sources such as nufc dot com reported and most inportantly it is not what YOU said not so long ago. In a previous comment you went to great lengths to justify Ashley and/or his minnions scuppering the deal.

            You have contradicted yourself once again. Does your boss know you’re logging on to The Mag at work?

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            It’s exactly as I posted at the time. Bullet dodged imho. He will mno doubt come good but he’s not like say, Andy Cole at his age.

          • Tomb

            Both are good enough for the premier league as are a number of our players. When I say that they are good enough for the mini league at the bottom but not good enough for a top half side

          • HarryHype59

            100% agree

          • Tomb

            Merino has been good and Lejune was thought to be a good signing at the time. Murphy cost 13 million but is a work in progress

          • Jezza

            Murphy didn’t cost anything like £13 million.

          • HarryHype59

            Actually, I have been to a number of games this season! The last two were Watford and Bournemouth! Both well deserved defeats! This is a far worse side than the one that was relegated! Unless your master sanctions the acquisition of at least two EPL quality strikers, my £10.00 bet is won

            The only people I know who think Ashley has been a good owner for NUFC, are misguided southerners and fans of SAFC!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            Like Tammy Abrahams? There aren’t many proven EPL strikers available, one is Fernando Torres which may well happen, the other is Troy Deeney who will be sold if they buy Slimani

          • HarryHype59

            Abraham is raw, but I would prefer to see him lead the line rather than Drosselu! The silly young fool, should have opted for us rather than Swansea!

          • Oooh bobbi fleckman

            You think we deserved to get beat of Bournemouth? We should have had the game won in the first half.

            did you sit in the away end?

          • HarryHype59

            The first 25 mins we were the better side and should have been at least one up! Problem is chances were not taken and Bournemouth took over the game , going on to win it!

          • Tomb

            All the pundits agreed Bournemouth deserved to win although the disallowed goal didn’t help our cause.

    • MadMag83

      Don’t forget to quote in full, previous articles from weeks prior.

    • nufcslf

      Enjoying the football are you? Shame the poor operation Mr. Cashley continues to make none football decisions about is heading down and out yet again. He would have been sacked before now, if only he wasn’t the boss. The man is playing games and getting away with it. Keep the losses coming until the penny drops, I suppose.

      • Oooh bobbi fleckman

        Why would you want us to lose games?

  • TwinFire

    I, for one, welcome the Newcastle Christmas special episode, where there will be heightened drama and one or two established character’s heads will roll! It also sets in motion the most spectacular season finale the series has ever seen!

    …there’s nowt else good on TV this christmas anyway…

  • Guest 2

    Short memories some people. The fat one was allegedly prepared to offload the club for 80 – 100 million after his first year here when he ushered in the first relegation. It proves how unpredictable he is and ultimately how mentally unstable.too.

    • HarryHype59

      I recall he wanted a £100m after the first relegation and that there were no takers!

  • Toonrobbybobson

    When do those direct debits renew…?

    • 1957

      I’m checking I’m pretty sure you have to tell them you don’t want to renew at the beginning of February and your new payments start in March

      • nufcslf

        Pity anybody who does renew. Just don’t see anything that has to with football and that is what you pay your money for surely. Plenty of sh*t soap opera’s on the telly without having this one rammed down your throat on a daily basis. Keep the losses coming until even the thickest Cashley fan might see the light……not likely sadly enough…..

      • Dave Pattinson

        Its Feb if u want to cancel but make sure you do it in writing not just an e-mail or phone call or your money will still be debited. Did it myself last year after 44 yrs. Couldn’t take any more of Ashley’s games with my club. Won’t renew till he’s back down the road.

  • Peaky Magpie

    Won’t happen,was never going to.He’s having a huge laugh at our expense.The Fatso is nothing more than an evil lying fat c**t.

    • TwinFire

      a lot of people predicted it was all a rouse to avoid spending in january, can blame the deal falling through, not enough certianty etc. Meanwhile the bet to cruise in at the end in 17th place will do him well in the wallet

      • Jezza

        That’s all it ever was. An excuse for spending nothing in January.

  • Leazes Ender

    Staveley isn’t genuine….. hokum!

    • TheNutJob


  • TheFatController

    If PCP tell Ashley he’ll lose £125m if relegated he’ll just invest £50m in Jan thinking he can safeguard the £125m.

    17th is everything. No more, no less. If it’s not £350m, it’ll be ‘17th’ until it is.

    Prepare for no increased bid, £50m of signings with relegation release clauses, and relegation therefore …

    • Megatron1505

      This is very likely.

  • magpiefifer

    The major problem is lack of information as to what exactly is happening with the takeover situation – a lot of speculation,conjecture etc.
    My feeling is that having suffered Ashley for over 10 years,this has disaster written all over it!

    • Taz

      We never get any truthfull information from those who allegedly run the club( into the ground) as they are all a bunch of lying [email protected] Ashley just being the latter, and then some.

  • robbersdog

    I sincerely hope I’m wrong, but I don’t see this deal happening. Rafa will be gone in January, and Pulis will be the man Ashley turns to in a desperate attempt to avoid relegation.

    • Jezza

      Change Pulis to Kinnear and I’d say you’re spot on with everything you said.

    • Tomb

      Pulis will go to Swansea or stoke. Not sure why he’s being used as an example of terrible managers when he has a track record of keeping poor teams, like us, up.

      • robbersdog

        I agree; but his wretched style of football become tiresome after a while, and he doesn’t offer any hope of success, just survival. I really wouldn’t like to see him at Newcastle – it would be a major step down from Rafa.

  • X,WHY,Y MAN.

    This takeover is a load of guff !

  • HappyToons

    Rafa’s plan is to keep losing to guarantee the take over, then it is win, win, win for the rest of the season, or did I read that in the Daily Paradise?

  • Ivan

    There is no takeover, she’s being paid to flush out a buyer with her £5 bottle of wine

    • Oooh bobbi fleckman

      It is, you’ll hear something in a few days

  • Oooh bobbi fleckman

    Well, the deal is pretty much done. Premier league are to be notified and the board are effectively working for both Mike & the new owner for the next month.