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Revealed how many points Newcastle fans expect to have by New Year’s Day

4 years ago

On Wednesday we asked Newcastle fans how many points they believed the team would get from their next 11 fixtures.

A report earlier this week claimed that Newcastle United had enjoyed one of the easiest fixture schedules to get 14 points from the opening 11 games and that the next 11 matches, which take us up to and include Stoke away on New Year’s Day, was one of the three hardest schedules.

Along with Stoke and Swansea who have similarly tough looking schedules, the report suggested Newcastle should be looking over their shoulder at a relegation struggle by the time the 22 games mark was reached.

So how many points from the next 33 did Newcastle fans think would be picked up?

Newcastle’s next 11 games are:

18 November – Man Utd (A)

25 November – Watford (H)

28 November – West Brom (A)

2 December  – Chelsea (A)

9 December – Leicester (H)

13 December – Everton (H)

16 December – Arsenal (A)

23 December – West Ham (A)

27 December – Man City (H)

30 December – Brighton (H)

1 January – Stoke (A).

Thanks to everyone who voted and these are the results of what percentage of Newcastle fans nominated each points total (totals rounded up/down to nearest full number):

5 – 1%

6 – 1%

7 – 4%

8 – 6%

9 – 9%

10 – 13%

11 – 14%

12 – 13%

13 – 8%

14 – 7%

15 – 9%

16 – 4%

17 – 2%

18 – 2%

19 – 1%

20 – 1%

21 – 1%

22 – 1%

33 – 1%

As you can see, everybody pretty much went for a points total of between 5 and 22 points, the only other one to get more than a small handful of votes was 33 points…you’ll always get some jokers.

A massive 79% went for a points total somewhere between 8 and 15.

With at the moment Newcastle having 14 points from 11 matches, to be on schedule to be reaching at least 40 points by the end of the season, Newcastle need at least 10 points from these next 11 games, which would put them on 24 points with 16 games left.

The points prediction from fans for these next 11 games comes out on average at between 11 and 12 points, having around 25 or 26 points after 22 matches.

Newcastle fans see the team continuing on a route to safety but not much margin for error.

A massive help of course would be if like last season you had three clubs who get no more than 34 points or so at the bottom (so long as Newcastle aren’t one of them!), Hull finishing on that total in 18th position, above Middlesbrough and Sunderland.

That average points prediction of 11 or 12 points out of the next 33 means we need to pick up a point per game on average, would be great if the first one (or better…) came at Old Trafford on Saturday.


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