Chelsea are third in the Premier League and obviously have some very good players but when you look into their stats, it surely gives Newcastle every encouragement they can get something on Saturday.

They dominated against Swansea on Wednesday night and scored only one second half goal despite 21 shots and 15 corners.

Whilst their previous game relied on a very late goal from sub Willian to rescue a point at Anfield.

Looking overall this season, Chelsea scored two in every one of their first four Premier League matches BUT have then scored one or less in seven of the next 10.

Ironically, when they have managed more than one goal, they have smashed four past the other three clubs, though they were against teams (Watford, Stoke and West Brom) who are conceding plenty of goals this season.

Newcastle might have leaked nine goals in their last three matches but even with that, only four teams outside the top seven have conceded less Premier League goals than NUFC.

If Newcastle can get back the discipline they showed before the trip to Old Trafford and cut out the silly mistakes is there any reason why they can’t hold Chelsea to one goal at worst, zero at best?

Looking at their last five games, Chelsea have failed to score a first half goal in four of them, the exception being the 4-0 demolition of West Brom. In the other four, they scored a single goal in each, the goals coming in these minutes – 55, 85, 55 and 51.

It suggests to me that if they aren’t leading before half-time, they throw everything into getting a goal after the break, but then relax and try to see out a one goal win without taking too many risks.

Once again, if Newcastle can get that tightness back, there is no reason why they can’t build that pressure against the hosts. Then with Merino back and Dwight Gayle likely to play the lone  role up front, every chance of Merino and Shelvey able to catch Chelsea on the break and set Gayle free with his pace.

I think like a lot of Newcastle fans I was already seeing Saturday as a bit of a write-off but after seeing the Chelsea stats I see some chinks in their armour, the challenge for Newcastle is whether they can be good enough to exploit them.

Chelsea’s last 10 Premier League matches:

Chelsea 1 Swansea 0 – 29 November

Liverpool 1 Chelsea 1 – 25 November

West Brom 0 Chelsea 4 – 18 November

Chelsea 1 Man Utd 1 – 5 November

Bournemouth 0 Chelsea 1 – 28 October

Chelsea 4 Watford 2 – 21 October

Crystal Palace 2 Chelsea 1 – 14 October

Chelsea 0 Man City 1 – 30 September

Stoke 0 Chelsea 4 – 23 September

Chelsea 0 Arsenal 0 -17 September

Chelsea v Newcastle Match Betting:

Chelsea win 2/9Draw 11/2Newcastle win 16/1

NUFC to win2-0 100/1Ciaran Clark to score first goal 50/1Chelsea not to score a goal 8/1

All Chelsea v Newcastle betting HERE

New customers to BetVictor qualify for up to a £40 welcome bonus in free bets.

  • Simon Ritter

    Jackie, you win the 2017 award for the most bizarre and disingenuous fact. In trying to say our defence is an asset you write:”Only four teams outside the top seven have conceded less Premier League goals than NUFC.” I can overlook the use of “less” when the word should be “fewer” but, come off it, that statistic means 11 rival teams have a better defensive record. Put another way, only eight teams are worse than us. Pardew, Allardyce and all the other rubbish managers we have employed would be mightily impressed by your ability to put a positive spin on an increasingly worrying aspect of our season. Yes, we might get a point or three at Stamford Bridge and I sincerely hope we do. Football’s a funny old game and stranger things have happened. Not many, mind.

    • Rabid Dog

      This made me laugh probably more than it should have. Nothing like calling out spin for what it is. Everyone below us, bar Eddie Howe’s AFC Bournemouth has a worse goal difference than us. Which you’d kind of expect. Right?

  • Leazes Ender

    Pay your taxes BetV****r you unscrupulous cheats!

    • Kneebotherm8

      There’s better odds elsewhere than BV.

  • nufcslf

    Not holding much hope for this one really and my day will be ruined nice and early with having to get up at half 4 in the morning to watch it here in Vancouver. Could PVR it, but nothing like watching it live. Got a mate on my football team from Chelsea and he is shi**ing himself about this match. Hope he is right and I am wrong.