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BBC Sport ‘super computer’ prediction for Burnley v Newcastle

3 years ago

It is Burnley v Newcastle on Monday night, both sides could go top six if they win, though the Clarets would need to win by three or more to do so.

BBC Sport have published the likelihood of either club winning, based on the predictions of  ‘super computer’ SAM.

(SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by Professor Ian McHale at the University of Liverpool that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.)

SAM’s verdict is…

Most probable score: 1-1

Probability of draw: 28%

Probability of home win: 37%

Probability of away win: 35%

Basically, the prediction is two teams that are very hard to split.

Talking ahead of the game to BBC Sport, Match of The Day commentator Conor McNamara kind of praises Mike Ashley…

“Mike Ashley has shown business acumen with the timing of putting Newcastle up for sale – a sense of fattening for market.

“This has already been the club’s best start to a Premier League season since 2011-12. Newcastle finished fifth that year.

“Five years since Sean Dyche’s appointment at Burnley, he’s now the Premier League’s third longest-serving manager.

“The best measure of Dyche’s success is all the other jobs he is now being linked with.

“Consistency has been key. Only 17 players used in total this season is a Premier League low.

“An average net transfer spend of just £7m per year for each of his five seasons only adds to the allure.”


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