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Paul Merson forecasts how Newcastle United’s promotion run-in will go

5 years ago

Paul Merson has been talking about how he sees the rest of the season going for Newcastle United.

With 15 matches of their season remaining, Newcastle are top with 66 points, one ahead of Brighton and five in front of Huddersfield, then having a game more (32), there are Reading (six points off top) and Leeds (nine points off).

Paul Merson says that he ‘can’t see anything else but Newcastle going up’, although he then does slightly contradict himself

The former Middlesbrough player adding that the next three away matches ‘will be the making or breaking of Newcastle’.

What is reality, is that Newcastle have five matches with the first and last only 15 days apart, and after the final whistle at Reading we should have a far clearer idea of exactly how ‘easy’ or difficult the remaining 10 match period of the season will look.

Paul Merson says that if Newcastle beat Brighton, Reading and Huddersfield, then they will finish top by 12 points.

I don’t know about that but certainly picking up those nine points and depriving the nearest challengers of the points, would almost certainly equal automatic promotion.

As we are often reminded though, all games come (more or less) equally in this division and first up we have two very winnable looking home games with Villa and Bristol City.

I’m not expecting 15 points from these next five matches but it is a little bit disconcerting just how very different things could look , good or bad, after this intense period of games.

By 7 March, Newcastle could have anything up to 81 points but the likelihood is somewhere in between, hopefully closer to 81 points than the current 66.

I’m going for 10 points as a very acceptable return and Newcastle would then sit on 76 points with 10 games to play, with 90 points usually the benchmark for guaranteeing automatic promotion.

Paul Merson talking to Talksport:

“I can’t see anything else but Newcastle going up.

“Although they have three very difficult away games coming up.

“That will be the making or breaking of Newcastle.

“If they win all those three, they will win the league by 12 points.”


Monday 20 February – Newcastle v Aston Villa (8pm) – SKY SPORTS

A public sale now to all fans.

Saturday 25 February – Newcastle v Bristol City (3pm)

A public sale now to all fans.

Tuesday 28 February – Brighton v Newcastle (7.45pm) – SKY SPORTS

Tickets now sold out.

Saturday 4 March – Huddersfield v Newcastle (5.30pm) – SKY SPORTS

Tickets now sold out.

Tuesday 7 March – Reading v Newcastle (7.45pm)

Tickets on sale to all season ticket holders (zero loyalty points). Prices £20 adults, £13 for 65 and overs, £10 for 18 -24 years, £5 for Under 18s

Saturday 11 March – Newcastle v Fulham (3pm)

Ticket details to be confirmed (match will be rescheduled if Fulham beat Spurs in the FA Cup 5th round)

Saturday 18 March – Birmingham v Newcastle (3pm)

Ticket details to be confirmed.

Saturday 1 April – Newcastle v Wigan (3pm)

Ticket details to be confirmed.

Wednesday 5 April – Newcastle v Burton (7.45pm)

Ticket details to be confirmed.

Buying tickets from NUFC:

By phone in UK

0844 372 1892 (7p per minute plus network charge)

By phone from overseas

0044 870 444 1892

To buy online go HERE


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