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Sky Sports predict Newcastle United chances of promotion, play-offs and being champions

4 years ago

What are the chances of Newcastle United going up as Champions, finishing Top Two, or simply making Top six?

Sky Sports have used their ‘Premier Predictor’ model to work out a percentage chance of these things happening.

Their predictor says that:

At least being top six is a 99% certainty for Newcastle.

As for being first or second, it is an 83% chance.

Whilst finishing top is only a 37% possibility.

In contrast, Brighton are 57% probability to finish top according to the Sky Sports stats, 87% to finish top two and the same as Newcastle, 99% certainty to be at least top six.

Just in case anybody is still worried about relegation…that ranks at less than 1% probability for both clubs.

As for anybody else sneaking into the top two, the Sky Sports predictor model only gives seven other clubs even the remotest chance – with Reading having a 10% probability, then Leeds (8%), Huddersfield (5%), Sheff Wed and Derby both 2% chance, with Fulham & Preston carrying a 1% opportunity each.

When humans are involved, any stats based system can never be totally relied on but at this stage I would definitely settle for finishing top two and whether it would be Brighton…or Sheffield Wednesday ending up as Champions, who cares? Just so long as Newcastle kick off in the Premier League in August.


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