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Why Newcastle’s position as favourite isn’t all it is cracked up to be

5 years ago

Newcastle United have been installed a firm bookies favourite at around 2/1 to win the Championship and a very skinny 8/11 to win promotion.

You can get odds of 10/1 or better on the rest of them, with fellow promoted clubs Norwich and Aston Villa, then followed by the likes of last season’s third – Derby (12/1) and fifth – Brighton (14/1).

The bookies don’t often get it wrong I hear you cry, well they do.

As recently as last night, you could have got odds of more than 10/1 on the UK to vote Leave, only for a fewer hours later it became obvious that they were the winning side.

When it comes to the Championship, it is quite amazing just how wrong the bookies have got the odds at the start of the season in recent times.

In fact you have to go back as far as 2001/02 to find the last favourites who won the Championship, a certain Kevin Keegan doing it with Manchester City.

Many people forget that Newcastle (see various special bets on Newcastle HERE) were largely written off in 2009/10 despite being the most expensively assembled side ever to be relegated, Newcastle started that season at 8/1 to win the title.

The last two seasons have seen Bournemouth (25/1) and Burnley (14/1) top the table at the end of the season.

In fact Newcastle are the only club in the last 14 years to win the Championship having started the season with single figure (8/1) odds.

Since 2002, only four favourites have managed to finish in the top three, with the last of those being West Ham in 2011/12, though last season Middlesbrough started as slight second favourites to Derby and were promoted.

The top six in the Championship 2015/16 were (prices at start of season in brackets):

Burnley (14/1)

Middlesbrough (6/1)

Brighton (33/1)

Hull (10/1)

Derby (11/2)

Sheffield Wednesday (25/1)

There is no reason why Newcastle can’t justify the big favourites tag the bookies have given them but these last 15 years tell us that the Championship is a very competitive and unpredictable league. Beware!

These are some of the special betting odds BetVictor are offering on Newcastle in the Championship:

12/1 Newcastle to get 100 points or more

50/1 Newcastle to remain unbeaten throughout the season

66/1 Newcastle to be relegated

20/1 Newcastle to beat Championship record and get 107 points or more

To view the full list of special Newcastle United betting odds for the coming season go HERE

New customers to BetVictor qualify for a £25 welcome bonus, click below for details.


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