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Opta crunch data to predict Newcastle v Leicester

5 years ago

Ahead of the Newcastle v Leicester clash on Saturday, Opta have ran the data, crunched the numbers and came out with a prediction for the game.

Looking at the key statistics this season, it isn’t difficult to see where they have arrived at their outcome.

Leicester are scoring double the amount of goals that Newcastle are (2.08 v 1.08 per game), whilst conceding less as well (1.66 v 1.88 per match).

The last match between the two clubs saw an embarrassingly one-side affair, with Leicester winning 3-0 in May at the King Power Stadium.

The fact that Newcastle are unbeaten in their previous seven Premier League games with Leicester isn’t seen as quite as relevant, with Opta predicting a 2-1 away win for the Foxes.

Obviously the Bournemouth match showed that statistics don’t always affect the outcome, Newcastle battered on every stat from chances to corners to possession, apart from the small matter of goals scored.

However, with the goal threat Leicester possess, with or without James Vardy, it is hard to see Newcastle get so lucky this time if they play anywhere near as badly.

They will need to at least match the in-form visitors to stand a chance of a positive result, this will be the real test of whether the team are really moving forward, as opposed to the freak win on the south coast last time out.

The Opta analysis on behalf of Sky Sports

We asked the number crunchers at Opta Sports to provide us with the key stats and their predictions for the games in question.

Average goals scored-conceded per game: Newcastle 1.08-1.83 Leicester 2.08-1.66

Most common Premier League head-to-head scoreline at St James’ Park: 2-1

Newcastle have lost just one of their last eight Premier League clashes with Leicester (W4 D3), although that defeat did come last out: 0-3 at the King Power Stadium last May.

At St James’ Park, Newcastle have won each of their last four home Premier League clashes with Leicester, with the Foxes netting just one goal in total in those games.

Opta predict: 1-2


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