John Carver wouldn’t in any way be my choice for the Newcastle Head Coach job but I do think there is a bare minimum that needs to be achieved before even Mike Ashley could give him the job.
Much is made of finishing top half, or wherever in the table.
What is most important though for me is seeing progress in terms of wins and the points that go with it.
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The number of points at the end of the season is the only reliable indicator, as you can have some seasons where the same number of points can get you quite different league positions.
As for John Carver, I would say that his first landmark will be getting 43 points, West Ham being the team relegated with the most points in Premier League history, going down with 42 in the 2002/03 season.
United currently have 10 games remaining and are on 35 points.
While 43 points would represent a survival total for John Carver, maybe a fairer evaluation will be how the current Newcastle head coach does compared to the average points totals under Mike Ashley’s reign.
In the last six completed seasons under Ashley, Newcastle average just over 48 points per season.
So the question is, can John Carver get another 13 points from the remaining ten matches below to at least equal that total?
Everton (A), Arsenal (H), Sunderland (A), Liverpool (A), Spurs (H), Swansea (H), Leicester (A), West Brom (H), QPR (A), West Ham (H)
Below is every season Newcastle have played in the Premier League with number of points and final league position in brackets (2009/10 was spent in the Championship, while the first two PL seasons were 42 game seasons and not 38).
49 (10th) 2013/14
41 (16th) 2012/13
65 (5th) 2011/12
46 (12th) 2010/11
35 (18th) 2008/09
43 (12th) 2007/08
43 (13th) 2006/07
58 (7th) 2005/06
44 (14th) 2004/05
56 (5th) 2003/04
69 (3rd) 2002/03
71 (4th) 2001/02
51 (11th) 2000/01
52 (11th) 1999/00
46 (13th) 1998/99
44 (13th) 1997/98
68 (2nd) 1996/97
78 (2nd) 1995/96
72 (6th) 1994/95 (***42 match season)
77 (3rd) 1993/94 (***42 match season)