Alan Pardew 24 Game Record Compared To Previous Sacked Newcastle Managers
This is one of those interesting exercises, you think you know where it might take you (in this case concerning Alan Pardew) and you end up dumbstruck.
Newcastle has proved to be something of a managerial merry-go-round in the past, the present incumbent is under pressure.
Statistics can always carry an element of bias; where do you start, where do you end, and what is hidden on the way?
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This exercise is based on after the Boxing Day fixture when Newcastle United beat Stoke, perhaps a Christmas gift from the referee on the day with 2 sendings off, but it is the last time that Pardew came from behind to win. After seeing the results of the speculative exercise, it wouldn’t really have made much difference if we had taken this calendar year.
So the basis of calculation is the last 24 matches of each of these managers before they were let go. Pardew has been sacked by a couple of clubs that he managed in the Premier League, both of them when in a relegation position, West Ham in the Premier League and Charlton after he had managed them into the Championship.
The comparison has been made with other managers to have been sacked by Newcastle, rather than resigned. The only one not to have been here for 24 games is Sam Allardyce who managed a grand total of 21 in the Premier League. The Sir Bobby story is something different so he has been left out of the equation. Points have been adjusted to the current method, IE 3 for a win.
So, the results with number of points in their last/final 24 matches:
26 Allardyce (Only in charge 21 matches)
24 Pardew at West Ham
23 Pardew at Charlton
19 Pardew current form (last 24 matches incl Palace)
18 Pardew current form (the 24 matches post-Stoke and pre-Palace)
Some things become obvious. Pardew clearly has the worst record over his most recent 24 games than any other Newcastle United manager over theirs – his closest target with the next worst record is Kenny Dalglish.
Many supporters will have sympathy with the next on the list, Richard Dinnis, a PE teacher who was arguably never cut out for management, at least he never managed again. We then climb to the grossly underfunded Ardiles and the grossly overfunded Souness.
Special mention should be made of the late Bill McGarry. In his penultimate season, Newcastle United headed the table after a famous New Year demolition of Sunderland (a team that Pardew has lost against in the last 3 encounters) to finish 9th and was sacked when 2nd bottom of his league at the time. Pardew never reached the same heights but has suffered a lower low.
So those are the stats. Why does Ashley persist with his manager?
Some pundits will refer to Sir Alex having been saved by one result before becoming the most successful manager in England. The owner may have faith in Pardew being able to exceed Sir Alex’s success…
Perhaps Ashley is egalitarian, giving managers of all abilities the chance to shine?
Some have argued that Ashley would have to pay out to sack his current puppet. Surely Ashley has the business sense to realise that such a liability as Pardew is actually costing him Premier league prize money?
Pardew has never had the decency to resign when he could not perform.
Can we expect Pardew to quit or will Ashley hold out for zero compensation?
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