Do Newcastle United Heads Go Down When They Concede? – Great Stats Analysis
With consecutive Premier League matches against Liverpool and the mackems coming up, it brings back memories of the two feeble surrenders late last season when we played both at home.
The only difficult thing was to judge which was the more humiliating, conceding three at home to our nearest and dearest or six against the scousers.
Those matches summed up a fragile look to our team, once conceding a goal they went to pieces.
Were those two matches a one (two) off or is it a pattern backed up by stats?
Well going into this weekend’s set of Premier League matches the excellent Sporting Intelligence website did an analysis on how many clean sheets teams had kept and what happened in matches once a side conceded the first goal.
Their article centred around the Aston Villa v Manchester City match as Villa hadn’t kept a clean sheet for nearly ten months, while there was also another glaring statistic with regard to Manchester City. In that same period (since early December 2012), in matches where they had conceded a goal, City had gone on to concede more goals on average then any other team…apart from one.
As you will see from the Sporting Intelligence table, Man City conceded on average 2.17 goals when they didn’t keep a clean sheet, a record only ‘bettered’ by Newcastle United with a whopping 2.48!
These sets of figures/research look even better when you view what happened yesterday, Villa yet again not keeping a clean sheet and Manchester City going to pieces and conceding three – sending their average even higher now.
For matters closer to home, our last Premier League match sums up why Newcastle are by far the worst in these statistics. Having looked under relatively little pressure when keeping clean sheets against West Ham and Fulham, United had a shocker against Hull after conceding one.
Against Everton on Monday night I’d bet my bottom dollar that Newcastle will either keep a clean sheet or concede two or more.
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