Judgement Day Approaches
Alan Pardew said we should judge him and his team after the first three league matches of the season.
OK, we can do that next week. However, there are only two outcomes possible now: mediocre or terrible.
Let’s start by being positive and look at the position if Fulham are beaten on Saturday. That would give us 4 points from two home games against ordinary teams and one away game against a top team.
Take the home form first. A win against Fulham would give us an average of 2 points per home game so far. An average of 2 points per game for the season would give us 38 points from our home games.
We can’t judge the away form based on one game at Man City. Last season we gained 13 points from the away games. Let’s be generous and say we do slightly better than that and manage, say, 15 points. That would give us a total of 53 points for the season. Last season 53 points would have secured 8th place, 8 points behind the top seven, but at the top of the following group.
Verdict – mediocre, particularly for a club with a much bigger crowd base than all of those below.
If we draw against Fulham that would give us 2 points against two ordinary teams at home. I’ll cut this short. Judging on these first three games, as we have been asked to do, that looks like we would get 19 points from our home games this season. Add that to the fairly generous 15 points away and that spells certain relegation.
Verdict – terrible.
I won’t even bother to think about the prospects if we lose to Fulham.
Pretty clear then. Judging this on the first three games, if we beat Fulham we might achieve a top half finish. I suppose, being realistic, most of us don’t expect or hope for any better than that even if it does represent an underachievement.
Draw or lose against Fulham and we can only judge that we are doomed.
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