Predicted Newcastle United Line-Up v QPR
QPR v Newcastle United
Sunday 12 May 3pm
Aston Villa’s defeat against Chelsea yesterday means that Newcastle are guaranteed to stay up IF they can manage their second away win of the season at Loftus Road.
Newcastle would also be safe if they managed a draw today AND Wigan lost at Arsenal on Tuesday.
Looking at the pure stats; at home QPR have 2 and drawn 8, while Newcastle have won 1 and drawn 7. If you are a keen gambler and looked purely at form then a draw looks a knocking bet and odds of 12/5 on a draw and 11/1 (0-0), 6/1 (1-1) and 15/1 (2-2) on correct scores will tempt.
However, I have a feeling that it could be quite an open game with the home side having nothing to play for after a dismal season, apart from a little bit of pride and some small consolation for their fans.
In that case I think the first goal is absolutely vital because QPR clearly have a team that has some talented players, just a terrible attitude. The last thing we want to do is sit back and let them sneak ahead, if they have a bit of encouragement I can see them putting on a bit of a display, whereas if they concede first then there is a chance of a real collapse.
Rangers had a mini revival in March when they beat the Mackems and Southampton but since then they have collapsed with defeats by Villa, Stoke, Fulham, Everton and Arsenal (last weekend).
The only points in that period mean were draws against fellow strugglers Wigan and Reading, ensuring relegation.
Ironically, we play the team second bottom of the recent form league today, QPR picking up only 2 point out of the last 18, while our other remaining match is against the club at the top of the form league, Arsenal picking up 14 out of the last 18 points.
It wouldn’t take a genius to work out where we have most chance of picking up points if we are going to need them. For the record, Newcastle are in the heady position of 15th in terms of recent from with 5 points out of 18.
In terms of the Newcastle line-up; Sissoko, Shola and Krul all miss today, while it remains to be seen if Marveaux and Santon play any part after returning to training. I’ve seen the odd rumour of Steven Taylor possibly missing but nothing official.
In that case I can see Alan Pardew sending his team out in a 4-4-2 formation and relying on players who are tried and tested in the manager’s eyes, such as Tiote and Jonas, though I expect to see Debuchy preferred to Simpson.
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