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Tyne Talk

Alan Pardew Claims Late Season Results Showed Newcastle Were A Mid-Table Team

9 years ago

Alan Pardew this week claimed that Newcastle’s late season run of matches was equal to a mid-table team.

The manager actually said;

“In the last 15 games we were a mid-table team and that was probably us this year but we need to improve on that.”

Could this be true?

Well if you those last 15 Premier League matches the outcome was;

W6 D2 L7 which gives 20 points at an average of 1.33 points a match which if sustained over a season would have meant 50 points and a finish of eight in the league, one point ahead of West Brom.

However, if you take the results of the 14 matches previous to the last 15 you get the following results;

W2 D2 L10 which gives 8 points at an average of 0.57 points a match which would have equalled 21 points over a season and a humiliating relegation.

If you take those last 29 matches together you get;

W8 D4 L17 which gives 28 points at 0.96 per match and a return of 36 points over a season, the same number as relegated Wigan finished on.

So even though we didn’t know it at the time, our first 9 matches were to be the highlight of our league season with W3 D4 L2 (average of 1.44 points per match which equals 54 over a season – still behind seventh placed Liverpool on 61).

Two things stand out for me;

Firstly, if we hadn’t signed players in January then that mid-season from tells you we would have almost certainly been relegated, as before the lift given by Sissoko and others in matches such as Villa, Southampton and Chelsea, we never looked like pulling out of our nosedive.

Secondly, if the January signings had been signed in the summer, when they should have arrived, then the statistics suggest that Newcastle’s early season form could possibly have been even better and then being maintained with the extra players available to cover injuries.

In theory at least, the team would have had every chance of matching the previous season’s tally of 65 points, especially if with the better form and ambition showed by the club, Demba Ba may have stayed instead of escaping a relegation battle.


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