Everton v Newcastle United 

Sunday 13 May 2012 3pm

Last match of the season and we could finish in any one of three league positions, unlike last season though it isn’t just what part of mid-table we’ll finish.

Defeat at Goodison and Newcastle are definitely fifth, win while Arsenal lose and Tottenham don’t win – we’ll be third, United win and either scenario happens to one of the North London clubs and we are fourth.

One strange statistic that needs to be smashed is that Newcastle have never won the last match of the season when it has being away from home…surely if there is a season when that can be achieved then this is the one.

Alan Pardew leads his team into Liverpool wearing his newly appointed manager of the season crown. Goodison Park had seen poor returns for Newcastle until a Ben Arfa wonder goal won the three points last season, a strike that was quickly followed by the Frenchman being struck down by De Jong in a fixture at Manchester City.

The cultured left footer will be full of confidence following Laurent Blanc selecting him for his initial Euro Squad and despite the loss to Manchester City, I anticipate a similar confidence throughout the team.

Danny Simpson will again miss out so we anticipate another unchanged line-up but never say never when it comes to Alan Pardew juggling his limited resources to get the best out of them.

Everton have often been an irritant and Tim Cahill personifies that, while top scorer Jelavic has most definitely bucked the trend of Scottish based strikers flopping when they make the journey south.

An unfortunate by-product of Chelsea’s midweek surrender at Anfield is that Everton need to win to ensure local supremacy.

While Newcastle have picked up 18 points in the last eight matches (6 wins and 2 defeats), Everton are also one of the form teams having picked up 16 points (4 wins and 4 draws).

Many matches are decided by who scores the first goal and I think that will be a very strong statistic on Sunday, a draw makes no difference to Newcastle so all out for a win will be up against Everton’s counter-attacking game.

In the betting stakes we have hooked up with ***Betfair. Many of you will have ‘normal’ betting accounts with the various bookies but what Betfair have to offer is something very different, though the most important thing is that the prices you get are better than anywhere else almost every time!

We fancy Newcastle to go for it from the start so we are going for Newcastle to lead at half-time at a tempting 3-1, while we fancy a 2-0 United win at 20-1, finally -Papiss Cisse is on offer at a not to be missed 6-1 to score the first goal – all quoted prices better with Betfair than any other bookmaker at time of writing.

Go direct to the Everton v Newcastle match odds here or to sign up for your free bet click below.

  • Mal

    You’ve been quite good with some of your forecasts so I’ll follow your 2 0 selection. I see we’re 40/1 to finish 3rd – it couldn’t happen – or could it? See .com for what happened when we were in a similar situation 15 years ago. Fingers crossed.

  • andy

    What counter attacking game do you refer to. Most teams with any sense come to goodison and play counter attacking football against us because if you deny everton space we find it difficult to break teams down. we are susceptible to a quick break as well due to having a midfield without much pace. If pienaar, fellaini and jelavic get into the game then it should be interesting to watch