The more goals you score, the more you win.
With very few exceptions, that is how seasons tend to turn out.
Unless you have an exceptional defence, a lack of goals is a major disadvantage and a serious lack of goals usually spells disaster.
Just look at the Premier League this season.
Middlesbrough conceded less goals (53) than any other team in the bottom half of the Premier League, yet they were relegated a massive 12 points away from safety, as they scored less goals (27) than any of the other 19 clubs in the top tier.
In fact, when it came to goals scored, the top three in the Premier League were the trio of teams to score the most goals, whilst the three that were relegated scored less goals than the other 17 clubs.
Chelsea (85 goals), Tottenham (86) and Manchester City (80).
Hull City (37 goals), Middlesbrough (27) and Sunderland (29).
This is Newcastle’s record when it comes to goals in the Premier League, since they came back up from the previous promotion in 2009/10:
56 goals – 2010/11 (12th – 46 points)
56 goals – 2011/12 (5th – 65 points)
45 goals – 2012/13 (16th – 41 points)
43 goals – 2013/14 (10th 49 points)
40 goals – 2014/15 (15th – 39 points)
44 goals – 2015/16 (18th – 37 points)
Scoring 56 goals delivered 5th and 12 place finishes, whilst only 43 goals in 2013/14 produced a bit of a freak higher position (10th) and number of points (49) than that number of goals would usually merit.
However, in the other three seasons of only 45, 40 and 44 goals, they produced two relegation fights and a relegation, with points totals of 41, 39 and 37.
Bottom line next season is, if Newcastle don’t score goals, then they are in trouble.
Below I have listed the players who scored Newcastle’s 85 goals in the Championship this title winning season with their goals total after their names, then in brackets the number of goals I think they can score next season (if they play as regularly as they have done in the Championship in 2016/17:
Dwight Gayle 23 (12)
Matt Ritchie 12 (5)
Ayoze Perez 9 (6)
Yoan Gouffran 5 (2)
Daryl Murphy 5 (2)
Christian Atsu 5 (2)
Jonjo Shelvey 5 (3)
Aleksandar Mitrovic 4 (2)
Mohamed Diame 3 (2)
Ciaran Clark 3
Jamaal Lascelles 3
Isaac Hayden 2
Grant Hanley 1
Chancel Mbemba 1
DeAndre Yedlin 1
(The above six players – 5 goals between them)
Own Goals 3 (2)
With no additions, I make it that we have around 43 Premier League goals in this current squad of players, that number of goals equalling a definite relegation fight.
Arguably, Rafa Benitez’ biggest challenge this summer is adding more goals and creativity to his current squad of players.
Here’s hoping he gets the right breaks and is able to add the players he is targeting, to give Newcastle United the goals they need next season.