I can understand the nerves taking hold when it comes to automatic promotion.
Newcastle fans would be on easy street if it wasn’t for Huddersfield, with the rest of the chasing back at least 11 points adrift with only nine games left.
David Wagner’s side are six points behind Brighton and Newcastle’s 77 points, with a game in hand.
No room for complacency but the reality is that with so few matches remaining, how many wins/points would it actually take to finish the job off.
I know 90 points is usually seen as certain of promotion and many are thinking it could need more than that but surely the reality is that at the very most, it will be only a point or two.
Looking at the remaining matches, I fancy us to definitely beat Wigan, Burton, Preston and Barnsley at home.
Yes the away form has been better but against these sides that are struggling or have little to play for, we will come out on top where it matters.
I think at least a point at home to Leeds and the same at Birmingham and Ipswich.
This is quite conservative I feel, allowing then defeats at Sheffield Wednesday and Cardiff who are now in good form.
That would give Newcastle another 15 points, taking them onto 92 at the season’s end.
With Newcastle having a massive goal difference advantage, it would mean Huddersfield needing at least 93 points, with 22 points or more from their final 10 matches.
You are talking at least seven wins from the 10 games plus a point.
At this stage of the season, with a small squad and so much pressure, I just can’t see them managing so many points from the games they have left.
Plus I think the reality is that Newcastle will get a few more points than that minimal 15 from their last 27.
REMAINING NEWCASTLE MATCHES
Saturday 18 March – Birmingham v Newcastle (3pm)
Saturday 1 April – Newcastle v Wigan (3pm).
Wednesday 5 April – Newcastle v Burton (7.45pm)
Saturday 8 April – Sheffield Wednesday v Newcastle (5.30pm) SKY SPORTS
Friday 14 April – Newcastle v Leeds (7.45pm) SKY SPORTS
Monday 17 April – Ipswich v Newcastle (3pm)
Monday 24 April – Newcastle v Preston (7.45pm) SKY SPORTS
Saturday 29 April – Cardiff v Newcastle (3pm)
Sunday 7 May – Newcastle v Barnsley (12 noon)
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