What are the chances of Newcastle United going up as Champions, or just simply getting automatic promotion by finishing Top Two?
Sky Sports have used their ‘Premier Predictor’ model to work out a percentage chance of these things happening.
Their predictor says that:
Newcastle ending the season where they are now, in top spot, is rated as a 55% chance.
As for the opposition: Brighton are given a 42% chance and the only other one to feature in any vaguely significant way is Huddersfield (3%).
However, when it comes to simply ending up in the automatic promotions spots (top two), form team (11 wins and only 1 defeat in last 13 matches) Huddersfield (15%) are given a far more viable chance of overtaking at least one of the current front pair.
However, Newcastle (92%) and Brighton (82%) are still rated by far the most likely to stay up there in the automatic promotion places.
Of those teams behind, Reading are still given a 12% chance of automatic promotion despite their midweek defeat at Huddersfield – with nobody else seemingly rated as having a chance.
The Sky Sports prediction system uses an algorithm to rank results, previous performances and the difficulty of upcoming fixtures – which has given this predicted end of campaign table.
As for Monday night’s match, their predictor gave Aston Villa only a 5% chance of winning the game, whilst Newcastle were rated a 75% possibility of getting all three points.
It is the same story this weekend, Newcastle rated a 75% likelihood of winning and Bristol City only 5%.
Elsewhere, Brighton are rated 62% likely to win, with Reading 14%.
Whilst Huddersfield are 37% to be victors at Barnsley and the home team 35%.