To win a big golf tournament a player most likely needs to fire four rounds ‘in the 60s’, this will involve producing a performance at a consistently strong level throughout the four days.
Newcastle United are approaching the end of the first round in their tournament, being season 2016/2017, but the question lingers, “How are we actually going”???
Near on impossible to assess considering all teams are yet to play against each other but let’s try and clear the mist a little, after a 1-1 draw was achieved at Villa Park.
For this discussion we will split the table into 3 sections with sides sitting 1-8, 9-16 and 17-24 and assess Newcastle’s performance as it stands, at this moment only, after nine matches.
Irrespective of the actual results so far this season the following points will be allocated to each team. One point to a team sitting in positions 1-8, one and a half points to teams sitting in positions 9-16 and two points to teams sitting in positions 17-24.
As the table is now starting to take shape these are the points Newcastle can expect to collect when playing each of these teams throughout the season (e.g. Aston Villa 17th so we expected 2 points).
The end result after Newcastle plays everybody home and away means we will collect a total of 70 points (14 games x 1pt, 16 games x 1.5pts, 16 games x 2pts).
Seventy points is what we will now deem to be “even par” for the season but, as in most golf tournaments, that score will not get us up the pointy end of the leader-board come May next year.
Of the teams we have actually played this season Newcastle, to be even with the card, should be on 12 points but we are actually sitting on 16. This indicates we are “4 under” approaching the end of the first round with arguably the hardest hole coming up on Wednesday.
The same ideology has Norwich at “5 under” so this next match is massively important. The surprise is Huddersfield who have flown out of the blocks at “8 under” but they could be that unknown golfer at the top of the charts after day one who finds the pressure too much as the tournament progresses.
Therefore, based on total speculation and, in all honesty, guesswork, we seem to be travelling OK.
Most importantly, we are conceding less than one goal a game which is a fantastic improvement on seasons past, but we have a tough batch of “holes” coming up in the next month.
If only we had somebody who could “putt”….
Anyway, if we can navigate those difficult holes and then take full advantage of the “easy holes” when they arrive, just before Santa does. It would be fair to say, on performances so far, Newcastle can expect to find themselves in the mix come the “back nine on Sunday”.