On Friday we asked you to consider a gamble – a gamble surrounding the final game of the season against Tottenham.
The survival of Newcastle United this season is in the balance and a poll this week of thousands of supporters on The Mag, showed that 28% believed Newcastle United will stay up, whilst 72% didn’t.
That representing a one in three or four chance of staying up, pretty much matching what the bookies are offering on Newcastle’s hopes of staying up at this moment in time.
What we asked you to consider is this:
If survival were to be guaranteed by an all or nothing bet on Newcastle winning the last match of the season against Tottenham, would you take that bet now?
So basically, instead of relying on results over all eight matches, do you think NUFC have a better or worse chance of beating Spurs, than of staying up due to the overall points?
Tottenham could have everything, or nothing, to play for on that final day and of course Newcastle United will have home advantage and fifty thousand supporters behind them.
The voting was:
30% think Newcastle have more chance of beating Tottenham than picking up enough points to stay up.
70% believing more chance of picking up enough points in the 8 games, than there is of beating Spurs.
I was quite surprised, as I thought the voting would be the other way around.
Last weekend’s results, with Norwich winning and Newcastle only drawing the derby, have really stacked the odds against NUFC.
I would take the beating Spurs bet every time because whilst obviously it won’t be easy against one of the two best teams in the country, I find it difficult to see the team picking up enough points.
A win over Norwich would/could be a game changer but I think we really do have to beat them, as well as the other three at the bottom (Palace, Swansea and Villa) if Newcastle are going to be ‘successful’.
Six wins in 30…makes it very hard to believe in four in eight – but in Rafa we trust!