There are fifteen clubs who have spent the last three seasons in the Premier League.
Some clubs are building clear patterns of behaviour and Newcastle United are showing a worrying trend as to where they are heading.
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At the very bottom of the pile you have Sunderland and Aston Villa, both clubs have been relegation contender for the entirety of the last 36 months.
If you look at the list of teams below, you will see Villa have posted points totals of 38, 38 and 41, whilst the mackems have 38,38, 39. In other words both clubs have been very lucky to go down in each of the last three seasons.
In fact they have been very very lucky that the old safety mark of 40 points has been significantly lowered, thanks to some dire teams and a general imbalance in results, leading to a bigger difference than usual between those competing at the top and the bottom.
It makes me feel sick to the stomach that in each of those three seasons it is Newcastle who have saved Sunderland, with gifts of 4, 6 and 6 points, the difference between staying up and relegation for our neighbours (United have contributed an astonishing 14% (1 in 7) of Sunderland’s total points half of 115 over the three seasons).
At the top you see Chelsea growing ever stronger again under Mourinho (75, 82, 87), Man Utd recovering under Van Gaal (89, 64, 70), whilst Arsenal are super consistent (73, 79, 75)…no wonder those Arsenal fans are right to call for Wenger’s head every season!
Other trends see Stoke (42, 50, 54) and Southampton (41, 56, 60) growing season by season, whilst Swansea (46, 42, 56) are showing signs of joining them. All clubs who are reinvesting the TV riches in their squads and feeling the benefits.
As for Newcastle?
Lack of investment by Mike Ashley has directly led to two relegation fights within three seasons (41, 49, 38), with only really that first half of the 2013/14 season giving us any relief from overall constant relegation form, plus of course that five match winning run of last October/November.
West Brom and West Ham are the next worst after Newcastle but certainly the Hammers are looking to seriously invest in the lead up to their move to the Olympic Stadium, with significant spending last season and this.
The time is clearly here when Newcastle United have to invest this summer or without doubt, they will be having a third relegation battle within four seasons, joining Sunderland and Villa in fighting it out with the promoted clubs for survival.
Below I have listed the total number of points accumulated over the last three years, the average points per season, then the individual points total for each of the seasons:
244 (81) Chelsea (75, 82, 87)
243 (81) Manchester City (78, 86, 79)
227 (76) Arsenal (73, 79, 75)
223 (74) Manchester United (89, 64, 70)
207 (69) Liverpool (61, 84, 62)
205 (68) Tottenham (72, 69, 64)
182 (61) Everton (63, 72, 47)
157 (52) Southampton (41, 56, 60)
146 (49) Stoke (42, 50, 54)
144 (48) Swansea (46, 42, 56)
133 (44) West Ham (46, 40, 47)
129 (43) West Brom (49, 36, 44)
129 (43) Newcastle United (41, 49, 39)
117 (39) Aston Villa (41, 38, 38)
115 (38) Sunderland (39, 38, 38)