YohanCabayeSQ45A combination of extremely poor management coupled with ill-timed injuries and the dreadfully poor form of most our players, leaves the toon in a very perilous position indeed.

Cabaye’s form this year before his injury ruled him out for 3 months was very poor (probably due to the injury in hindsight) but there’s no doubt he was the engine room of the team last year.  When we played our Champagne football aided and abetted by an enforcer in the form of Tiote, giving him the room to go forward and make those defence splitting passes that Cisse and Ba simply gobbled up with consummate ease.

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Somehow, irrespective of the fact we’ve been woeful all year, Ba has managed to turn up in the right place at the right time saving our bacon on numerous occasions and is subsequently right up there amongst the premierships elite goal scorers this year, helping himself to another two yesterday playing on his debut for Chelsea.

All that is history now and we have to move on, so what are our hopes and dreams for the rest of the season?

We have bought Debuchy so we can at last allow Simpson to go shack up with the delightful Tulisa and make beautiful babies that no doubt won’t threaten any Mensa records in the near future…but good luck anyway. Problem here is that Simpson wasn’t actually that bad in a team that was playing well but when all four of the back four are not communicating effectively, or playing as a unit, then replacing one unit out of a unit of four isn’t necessarily going to stop the defence from leaking goals overnight.

We don’t have the firepower upfront, or the form in the team, to score more goals than we’re letting in, so therein lies our biggest problem for the rest of the year.

HBA0004_Hatem_Ben_Arfa_Newcastle_United_NUFCThere’s no doubt we should be looking for two good centre halves because although we’ve got Steve Taylor coming back, there’s definitely an issue with Captain Colo and we’ve all seen this year how Perch and Williamson are simply just not up to the job. We also have to consider the fact we need decent cover for the centre back positions so in my book we need three good centre halves in the squad which means we should be buying two new CBs in this January transfer window but we’re not going to get that are we!

We got 7.5 million for Ba but it will cost us much more than that to replace him with someone who knows the Premiership like Ba does and can come in and score 13 goals in the remaining 17 games to at least give us a chance to stay up. Loic Remy is not the answer to give us that immediate payback in terms of goals scored and there isn’t anyone available in the market place at under 25 million who can, with perhaps the exception of a motivated Bent but no mention of that anywhere as a potential target and cheap at 10 million.

So I can’t see anyone coming in who can make that sort of impact for the money Ashley will want to make available, so that leaves us with Cisse and Shola plus a new striker who probably won’t contribute too much in the way of goals for the rest of the season, so Cisse has a huge responsibility on his shoulders.

Problem here is Cisse is miss-firing and has had little or no service coming from a midfield devoid of any flair or confidence, so supply will probably continue to be poor for the rest of the season unless Cabaye recaptures his form of last year upon his return to first team action.

So in summary we have a defence with hopefully one new player (Debuchy) who will help improve things a little, Taylor hopefully will be back soon, we hope Colo can find some form soon and Pardew needs to coach Santon on how to defend. However, hope is not a strategy and the defence worries me greatly. One thing’s for sure, Debuchy will not magically transform our defence into a good unit on his own overnight, it just won’t happen.

Midfield. Tiote’s gone for a month, Cabaye hopefully coming back soon, Marveaux playing well, HBA to hopefully come back in February, Bigi to replace Tiote, Perch in his best position as a defensive midfielde. Obertan sold back to France with a bit of luck and Jonas in a squad rotation role depending on who we’re playing and what formation Pardew chooses to play against certain teams. The new striker will probably be expected to play wide right or wide left with Cisse playing the striker’s role up on his own down the middle in the 4-5-1 defending formation morphing into 4-3-3 going forward.

Where will we end up at the end of the season?

My Guess is we’ll end up 15th or 16th with 39 points as I don’t believe 40 points will be required this year to stay up, with Reading and QPR so far behind already.

I obviously hope and pray we stay up this year, and my other hope is we sack Pardew as soon as we are safe, and start again next year with a much improved squad and a much better manager – I would be going after Martinez.

Where do you think we’ll finish this year and who should we bring in to replace Pardew?

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31 comments
NufcToon
NufcToon

Ironic that the vote doesn't reflect the general fan feeling of its all fine il go no matter what. It's almost like abused wife syndrome

Tony Gill
Tony Gill

Any league without him -club is rotten to the core at the moment!

stepaylor
stepaylor

anything to have that sense of passion back at the club

Andrew Michael Grenon
Andrew Michael Grenon

Obviously I'd rather stay in the premier league, but this isn't a real choice.

MilitantGeordie
MilitantGeordie

I reckon spending two or three years in the championship would be the end of Ashley. When the club no longer makes him enough profit he'll be done with us. the real question is.. what state is he going to leave us in? that's what frightens me.. it's very possible we won't even have a club if he decides to recoup the full amount of the so called debt the clubs owes him.I'd definately take a few years in the lower leagues if it guaranteed he would bugger off. I can't wait for the day when that horrible vermin is no longer in my life.

NUFCTheMag
NUFCTheMag

It could be a @HowardLinskey plot but will it be a happy ending 4 after all the intrigue, underhand dealings and dodgy characters...?

HowardLinskey
HowardLinskey

@NUFCTheMag if I wrote it, it would end with a St Valentine's day massacre for Ashley and all of his spineless cronies. reclaimed.

lordi76
lordi76

He's a parasite and the quicker he is gone the better our only glimpse of him possibly leaving has diminished with the canny Scotts locking the door on a possible take over of Rangers yes at this point I would take relegation and it sickens me to say that as I want the club as far up the league as possible 

Paul Patterson
Paul Patterson

Anything to get out of this cycle of boring, insipid football that gets a few decent results via some decent signings, only for Christmas to arrive, a crisis to occur and then the remaining five months of the season is spent hoping that the season ends with three poorer teams than we are.

1957
1957

Relagation will not get rid of Ashley, the best hope for a change of ownership is someone/organisation being seduced by the EPL profitability of NUFC. The problem lies in the only people who could fund a purchase might, despite what supporters may think, be worse than Ashley. Hedge funds and investment banks would operate a very similar business plan to ensure returns to investors, minimum investment, maximum profit is their mantra.

We need to be careful what we wish for, as the Who said "...meet the new boss, same as the old boss..." or perhaps even more apt, "...get on our knees and pray, we don't get fooled again..."

A lex
A lex

@1957 Hedge funds and investment banks don't buy - they only act as brokers / intermediaries for others.

1957
1957

Slightly disagree, hedge funds collect monies from their investors and invest it in shares, acquisitions on the investors behalf. The acquisition is owned by the investors but managed by the hedge fund, a purchase of £250m would have typically in excess of 25 investors. The hedge fund holds control of the aquisition and their sole aim is to maximise returns at minimal cost.

Investment banks are slightly different, but their acquisitions arm operate in the same way as a hedge fund. They rarely act for individuals although the Glazer's did borrow from an investment bank to fund their purchase of Man U.

The last thing we need is a consortia approach, it is a recipe for disaster.

mickg
mickg

Championship & Rid Of

Alex Wilkinson
Alex Wilkinson

Championship ! At least we'd have our club back !

wor monga
wor monga

Championship no way…next time we’d do a ‘Wigan’


…we only got back the last time because we managed to keep a backbone of solid English players who didn’t mind getting stuck in and playing at that level.


…we don’t have that now, and reality would bite hard…for all those far flung Mag voters who can see that silver lining shining just over the far horizon. 

Roppa
Roppa

As long as Ashley remains the owner, the Club will be steeped in disharmony, mistrust & deception. Furthermore, all hope of winning a trophy will be extinguished. All hope & ambition will cease to exist & the passion of the supporters will continue to be abused until it too has been obliterated! 

More of the same, or time for a change? I know what most fans would want, and it's certainly not more of the same!

SGM
SGM

@Roppa Careful what you wish for! remember the wish, that Pardew would quit.


Look what happened.

A lex
A lex

@SGM @Roppa Just means it's getting worse for Ashley, too, and that's what we want. Once it becomes too awkward for him, then he'll sell up. Pardew going makes it just that bit more difficult, so despite Carver's inadequacies, I'm delighted he has the job at this moment, because it's another small step along the road to Ashley effing off.

Roppa
Roppa

@SGM @Roppa Pardew's departure was long overdue, and any 'caring' owner would have sacked him months before he left. It was an opportunity for Ashley to 'stick' with mediocrity (at the very best) or to 'twist' with a modicum of ambition - and inexplicably he chose to 'stick' (with Carver). At least Ashley's true intent has been further exposed. 

It is important to retain a sense of hope - at least of playing some decent football  - under Pardew (and Carver) there was / is none - so effectively we are no better or worse off!

Emmett Gill
Emmett Gill

Championship, lower league football, or even starting again from scratch. Look at the example of AFC Wimbledon. Even if you start again from scratch it only takes a few years before you get back to where you belong.

Jarra MIck
Jarra MIck

Championship was a great season wouldn't mind it although it would probably take more than one to see him off. Would be interested to see how many voted?

David Grey
David Grey

Championship without him.....even League 1 if that's what it takes to get the parasite out.